{"ticker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2375","venue":"kalshi","title":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 2250.00-2499.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":5,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":9,"spread":4,"volume":1214215.29,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":49088.44,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T05:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"US freezes Russian assets, sanctions Iran, bombs Iran — each action tells the wo","thesisSlug":"dollar-weaponization-de-dollarization","thesisPrice":18,"edge":11,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-25T06:05:17.924Z","firstDetectedPrice":10}],"indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":3544.3956639289377,"iyNo":9.818270537199275,"cri":19,"ee":9,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.8,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.45,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.442,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"sfEdgeCents":11,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-19T13:30:29.785Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1125","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,000 to 1,249.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1375","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,250 to 1,499.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1625","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,500 to 1,749.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1875","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,750 to 1,999.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2125","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,000 to 2,249.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2625","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,500 to 2,749.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2875","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,750 to 2,999.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B3125","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 3,000 to 3,249.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B3375","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 3,250 to 3,499.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B3625","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 3,500 to 3,749.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B3875","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 3,750 to 3,999.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4125","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 4,000 to 4,249.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4375","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 4,250 to 4,499.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-B4625","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 4,500 to 4,749.99","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-T1000.00","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 999.99 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"},{"connectedTicker":"KXETHY-27JAN0100-T4999.99","connectedTitle":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 5,000 or above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXETHY-27JAN0100","groupLabel":"KXETHY-27JAN0100"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T15:01:14.469Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1680.7186178992613,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:15:25.718Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1916.3953960854856,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T10:45:32.742Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1726.4949268130408,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T12:45:33.067Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1964.413577502492,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:02:26.828Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1737.083530105177,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:30:46.850Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1976.65219397798,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T15:15:22.878Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3309.109474980078,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T20:30:23.394Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4204.382925213818,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T22:16:34.534Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3361.935233662982,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T12:16:05.008Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2807.2742030237723,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T14:46:19.400Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3406.3057177800806,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T15:45:44.492Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4303.568621285962,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:00:33.512Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3408.565895663969,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T18:16:32.423Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4305.78971427448,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T23:30:35.425Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3412.4066939265545,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T03:30:32.969Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2858.2805996807656,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T11:00:49.730Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2439.904459537262,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:15:43.950Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2887.5950398338305,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T01:16:15.090Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3517.5369633029845,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:30:56.982Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2905.4800181560745,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:45:38.693Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3523.846302374975,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T12:46:03.864Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2907.489136108795,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:00:36.109Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3526.2831399428464,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:16:07.445Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2907.7996152314117,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T13:45:35.438Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3526.8390673074473,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["+11c executable edge (yes)","IY 3544%","16 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 0.80)","price shifted 50% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1125","reason":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,000 to 1,249.99"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1375","reason":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,250 to 1,499.99"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1625","reason":"ETH price  on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,500 to 1,749.99"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=ETH%20price%20%20on%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}