{"ticker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-RUS","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will George Russell finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix?","description":"If George Russell finishes in exactly first in the main race originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":17,"bestBid":16,"bestAsk":17,"spread":1,"volume":13074.31,"volume24h":4726.68,"openInterest":12025.21,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-21T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":24,"iyYes":8049.1032049397245,"iyNo":292.0309552812599,"cri":5.25,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0625,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:05:27.559Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALB","connectedTitle":"Will Alexander Albon finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALO","connectedTitle":"Will Fernando Alonso finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ANT","connectedTitle":"Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco G","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BEA","connectedTitle":"Will Oliver Bearman finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Pr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BOR","connectedTitle":"Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-BOT","connectedTitle":"Will Valtteri Bottas finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-COL","connectedTitle":"Will Franco Colapinto finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Pierre Gasly finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HAD","connectedTitle":"Will Isack Hadjar finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HAM","connectedTitle":"Will Lewis Hamilton finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Pr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-HUL","connectedTitle":"Will Nico Hulkenberg finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LAW","connectedTitle":"Will Liam Lawson finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix?","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LEC","connectedTitle":"Will Charles Leclerc finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand P","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-LIN","connectedTitle":"Will Arvid Lindblad finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Pr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-NOR","connectedTitle":"Will Lando Norris finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-OCO","connectedTitle":"Will Esteban Ocon finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-PER","connectedTitle":"Will Sergio Perez finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-PIA","connectedTitle":"Will Oscar Piastri finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Pri","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-SAI","connectedTitle":"Will Carlos Sainz Jr. finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-STR","connectedTitle":"Will Lance Stroll finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-VER","connectedTitle":"Will Max Verstappen finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Pr","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXF1RACE-MONGP26","groupLabel":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:15:46.028Z","priceCents":2,"iy":66267.73870836267,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:00:26.034Z","priceCents":27,"iy":3666.413478421205,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:15:53.202Z","priceCents":7,"iy":18023.064425353874,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T17:30:34.966Z","priceCents":2,"iy":66499.34932143522,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T19:30:26.398Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7714.207568750311,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:15:26.783Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7155.259325641313,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:45:27.982Z","priceCents":19,"iy":5814.845409487845,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T22:30:45.794Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7750.340365471328,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T22:46:18.426Z","priceCents":10,"iy":12314.439946018894,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:30:27.747Z","priceCents":11,"iy":11083.021159580494,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:00:27.929Z","priceCents":12,"iy":10053.20813771518,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:45:40.534Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7205.843643063965,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:00:28.089Z","priceCents":18,"iy":6255.0418605039995,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:30:27.169Z","priceCents":14,"iy":8454.216873959718,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:15:25.283Z","priceCents":13,"iy":9279.688134681866,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:16:26.897Z","priceCents":14,"iy":8585.98015295572,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:30:54.716Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7923.434467259169,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:00:52.148Z","priceCents":14,"iy":8596.184707061522,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:15:22.848Z","priceCents":13,"iy":9368.666082507987,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:30:50.753Z","priceCents":14,"iy":8603.11126215508,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:45:31.584Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7939.249705716772,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T14:30:50.258Z","priceCents":14,"iy":8616.997913692763,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T14:45:23.144Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7367.358708189158,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T16:00:55.672Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7967.999589079797,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:01:42.296Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7394.366197183099,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:31:08.624Z","priceCents":15,"iy":7987.384952049946,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:00:24.583Z","priceCents":17,"iy":6909.6150732015485,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:00:22.968Z","priceCents":18,"iy":6457.389428263215,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:00:40.693Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7453.905399097557,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:15:23.695Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8048.615975302877,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:45:23.432Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7475.131655939145,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T00:15:25.121Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8075.011061658989,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:30:34.565Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7520.89956434711,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:45:24.078Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8121.302549604734,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:23.746Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7719.655158522338,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:45:35.167Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8395.913672958528,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:21.314Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7782.357958006742,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:45:27.041Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8569.85014847041,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:35.683Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7949.925323597743,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:45:22.894Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8584.789496257557,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:15:23.946Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7960.162838034312,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:48.189Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8596.206863111813,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.173Z","priceCents":16,"iy":7967.112922002329,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:48.608Z","priceCents":15,"iy":8603.358152045812,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:15:26.902Z","priceCents":17,"iy":7415.666528772884,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:25.310Z","priceCents":16,"iy":8001.712042759311,"cri":5.25}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 8049%","21 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 5.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 15c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXF1RACE-MONGP26-RUS","marketTitle":"Will George Russell finish in first in the main race at the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":15},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALB","reason":"Will Alexander Albon finish in first in the main race at the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ALO","reason":"Will Fernando Alonso finish in first in the main race at the"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXF1RACE-MONGP26-ANT","reason":"Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish in first in the main race "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20George%20Russell%20finish%20in%20first%20in%20the%20main%20race%20at%20the%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":140}