{"ticker":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-28JUL01","venue":"kalshi","title":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?","description":"If the FDA approves retatrutide (LY3437943) for marketing before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":94,"bestBid":87,"bestAsk":94,"spread":7,"volume":13.05,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1.05,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-07-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":764,"iyYes":7.135915442906045,"iyNo":319.5961182683777,"cri":6.692,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.092,"cvr":null,"overround":2.56,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2134,"askDepthUsd":1760,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:41:58.974Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jan 1, 2027","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET","groupLabel":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-27JUL01","connectedTitle":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jul 1, 2027","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET","groupLabel":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-28JAN01","connectedTitle":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jan 1, 2028","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET","groupLabel":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-29JAN01","connectedTitle":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before Jan 1, 2029","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET","groupLabel":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:15:37.222Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2295.6799884991374,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:30:38.426Z","priceCents":7,"iy":622.4526339125836,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:35:42.823Z","priceCents":8,"iy":538.7917202570284,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T02:45:40.737Z","priceCents":7,"iy":622.4606237955811,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T03:05:42.855Z","priceCents":8,"iy":538.8062441193422,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T03:35:46.546Z","priceCents":9,"iy":473.74579669166695,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T04:20:39.872Z","priceCents":10,"iy":421.7026001784373,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T04:35:43.518Z","priceCents":9,"iy":473.7713396795728,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:30:50.199Z","priceCents":10,"iy":421.729127938624,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:40:39.124Z","priceCents":11,"iy":379.13363325563927,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:50:50.395Z","priceCents":10,"iy":421.7367079117036,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:00:55.432Z","priceCents":55,"iy":57.273400963020514,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:06:07.237Z","priceCents":62,"iy":76.45617422628919,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:11:12.368Z","priceCents":61,"iy":73.29459138915455,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:15:57.287Z","priceCents":62,"iy":76.45686133603888,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:25:57.609Z","priceCents":63,"iy":79.79048431071674,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:45:57.931Z","priceCents":62,"iy":76.45892273939042,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T06:51:07.990Z","priceCents":80,"iy":187.4486442070666,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:00:54.913Z","priceCents":81,"iy":199.78233084927058,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T07:06:02.913Z","priceCents":85,"iy":265.5556554153239,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:25:58.084Z","priceCents":62,"iy":76.46982057537609,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:30:54.007Z","priceCents":67,"iy":95.1578265804546,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:45:58.491Z","priceCents":72,"iy":120.52142300396251,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T09:55:57.031Z","priceCents":67,"iy":95.16002604944916,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T10:40:53.720Z","priceCents":70,"iy":109.3673686296718,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:25:57.638Z","priceCents":75,"iy":140.62078619219457,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:30:58.726Z","priceCents":70,"iy":109.37228442102037,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:36:01.699Z","priceCents":73,"iy":126.73345274673413,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:45:50.758Z","priceCents":18,"iy":213.53910712257448,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T11:56:05.622Z","priceCents":23,"iy":156.9288775768819,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T12:06:05.480Z","priceCents":43,"iy":62.13700030338267,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T12:11:03.851Z","priceCents":48,"iy":50.78181520855969,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T12:15:57.910Z","priceCents":58,"iy":64.73311274539032,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T12:21:00.606Z","priceCents":68,"iy":99.61137916730348,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T12:30:33.788Z","priceCents":73,"iy":126.73963768493365,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T13:21:13.427Z","priceCents":85,"iy":265.6443319933385,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T07:00:38.022Z","priceCents":86,"iy":288.9828576731347,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T15:01:06.282Z","priceCents":87,"iy":314.9666435892807,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T08:00:46.021Z","priceCents":6,"iy":738.9631513472347,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T19:46:37.673Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1132.7459261232418,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T21:45:37.924Z","priceCents":86,"iy":289.96013717821023,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T22:01:44.596Z","priceCents":87,"iy":315.9002425731857,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T04:00:53.477Z","priceCents":81,"iy":201.8229117779592,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:16:23.184Z","priceCents":86,"iy":290.83007851948867,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T09:00:23.812Z","priceCents":87,"iy":316.9072170915731,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:45:26.210Z","priceCents":86,"iy":293.2147546337085,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:42.345Z","priceCents":87,"iy":319.5417677467188,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:24.725Z","priceCents":86,"iy":293.32254359890595,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:15:26.001Z","priceCents":87,"iy":319.589427975684,"cri":6.692}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.7"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 85c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-28JUL01","marketTitle":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":85},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-27JAN01","reason":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-27JUL01","reason":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDARETATRUTIDE-RET-28JAN01","reason":"When will the FDA approve retatrutide (LY3437943)?: Before J"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=When%20will%20the%20FDA%20approve%20retatrutide%20(LY3437943)%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":117}