{"ticker":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-5000000000","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $5000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If MegaETH (MEGAETH)'s fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 5000000000 at exactly 10:00 AM ET on the day after its launch, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":3,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":9,"spread":6,"volume":14608.53,"volume24h":196.01,"openInterest":6861.6,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":246,"iyYes":4800.3915698588835,"iyNo":4.591723257384413,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2,"cvr":null,"overround":0.34,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":623,"askDepthUsd":556,"volume24h":196.01,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-30T18:38:58.380Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-1000000000","connectedTitle":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $1000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?: Above $1,0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-2000000000","connectedTitle":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $2000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?: Above $2,0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-8000000000","connectedTitle":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $8000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan 1, 2027?: Above $8,0","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:52:53.771Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13470.442192847077,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T09:08:23.077Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6667.461965456694,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:08:00.744Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13473.053892215568,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T10:22:47.520Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6668.72986517122,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T11:23:40.810Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13475.6666045124,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T11:37:43.673Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6670.023122249571,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:22:56.046Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13477.777612007103,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T12:37:57.977Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6671.068042283045,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T18:37:50.146Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13490.86048803799,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T19:07:44.902Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6677.818143801783,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:37:57.337Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13495.042294549325,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:52:46.442Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6679.638772903486,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:22:45.033Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13498.72241232461,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:37:57.129Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6681.460395022434,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T00:52:45.076Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13503.96878783802,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T01:07:48.787Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6684.057299394193,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T02:37:47.121Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13507.653776423751,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T03:22:48.896Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6686.406238901163,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:07:53.598Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13515.029790289824,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T06:22:44.183Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6689.507366499725,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T07:37:54.914Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13518.215079347267,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T09:22:48.505Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6692.661460223849,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T10:37:35.980Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13524.488925152142,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T11:37:34.159Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6694.991390282249,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T14:52:09.211Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13533.45442969233,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T15:08:12.605Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6698.652404173876,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T16:07:54.561Z","priceCents":1,"iy":13536.141328778205,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:16:16.373Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1399.1036301294853,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:30:16.511Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6903.752769607276,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:10:16.396Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1424.96893940954,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T00:25:17.330Z","priceCents":2,"iy":6915.899414942363,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T02:05:17.194Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1427.4767462899144,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T04:20:15.959Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2683.3666094008754,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:20:17.751Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3414.845220970892,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:30:23.991Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2735.484379930577,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:35:32.358Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2260.0678744954207,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:55:32.286Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4664.653507350403,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:00:50.117Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3464.175834605377,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T12:25:15.282Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4681.213400130368,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T14:40:12.291Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3476.0111581545393,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T16:40:14.777Z","priceCents":5,"iy":2752.748779422855,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T02:30:12.065Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3482.824427480916,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T04:05:13.474Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4693.370026592007,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T16:25:59.006Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7127.20172152706,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T00:20:34.556Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4709.17627655188,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T01:20:30.535Z","priceCents":2,"iy":7137.782957121419,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-27T22:35:35.990Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4745.666839577561,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T14:45:49.750Z","priceCents":4,"iy":3546.4294823265545,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-30T11:35:32.095Z","priceCents":3,"iy":4794.677305555218,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4800%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 2.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-1000000000","reason":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $1000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-2000000000","reason":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $2000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFDVMEGAETH-27JAN01-8000000000","reason":"Will MegaETH FDV be above $8000000000 at 10:00 AM ET on Jan "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20MegaETH%20FDV%20be%20above%20%245000000000%20at%2010%3A00%20AM%20ET%20on%20Jan%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1845}