{"ticker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.50","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?","description":"If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.50% following the Federal Reserve's Apr 28, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":93,"bestBid":18,"bestAsk":92,"spread":74,"volume":5002.96,"volume24h":38,"openInterest":685.34,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-28T17:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":335,"iyYes":496.6124823124321,"iyNo":23.929572318445565,"cri":4.556,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":4.2222,"cvr":null,"overround":8.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":74,"bidDepthUsd":307,"askDepthUsd":1213,"volume24h":38,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T22:18:26.722Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T4.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T4.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":-1,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:45:40.874Z","priceCents":66,"iy":209.8270847135264,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:00:25.192Z","priceCents":65,"iy":200.74960622192629,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:16:07.133Z","priceCents":71,"iy":264.6573068292717,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:30:27.169Z","priceCents":65,"iy":200.7620920552369,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:15:41.654Z","priceCents":71,"iy":265.47578351722683,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T03:30:34.565Z","priceCents":72,"iy":278.8388082505729,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:00:27.342Z","priceCents":71,"iy":265.5333690861574,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:15:38.604Z","priceCents":72,"iy":278.89929443148054,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:30:40.284Z","priceCents":65,"iy":201.48294847047055,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:45:47.129Z","priceCents":20,"iy":434.03164863651637,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T09:16:29.932Z","priceCents":18,"iy":494.3446836061892,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:00:25.043Z","priceCents":17,"iy":529.8542572858239,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:15:23.747Z","priceCents":25,"iy":325.74452704572025,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:30:44.746Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.1505981190721,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:16:06.147Z","priceCents":26,"iy":309.07921628221527,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:30:24.446Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.2168472268406,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:22.717Z","priceCents":25,"iy":325.86570166771816,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.011Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.3478167858805,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:15:23.704Z","priceCents":25,"iy":325.9064365777146,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":18,"iy":494.911162371539,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:45:23.462Z","priceCents":25,"iy":325.92680785200844,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:00:35.944Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.4472706172307,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":25,"iy":325.947181673136,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:30:35.019Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.4788510628313,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":19,"iy":463.2598071936657,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.684Z","priceCents":28,"iy":279.4348695587821,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:00:37.157Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.578354049445,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:53.128Z","priceCents":21,"iy":408.84181571988626,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:45:23.403Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.6273295406777,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:00:22.302Z","priceCents":18,"iy":495.18677790087133,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:15:34.506Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.7268882411278,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":18,"iy":495.2501981497202,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:15:22.976Z","priceCents":29,"iy":266.16767032882166,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:30:39.197Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.8090918249792,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:15:26.464Z","priceCents":18,"iy":495.3874184505911,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:46.173Z","priceCents":17,"iy":530.9403541658706,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:15:37.081Z","priceCents":20,"iy":435.02745738369725,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:30:27.514Z","priceCents":17,"iy":531.006800813293,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:15:43.990Z","priceCents":19,"iy":463.70571524155906,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:30:23.886Z","priceCents":17,"iy":531.0716814418363,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:15:40.649Z","priceCents":19,"iy":463.76376016801856,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:30:23.947Z","priceCents":17,"iy":531.1381609663331,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:15:24.134Z","priceCents":21,"iy":409.28540627484847,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:30:30.600Z","priceCents":17,"iy":531.20465713672,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:15:26.001Z","priceCents":18,"iy":496.4968193016997,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T20:45:25.786Z","priceCents":17,"iy":532.1452999950465,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:15:27.311Z","priceCents":29,"iy":266.86317297480826,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:30:50.679Z","priceCents":17,"iy":532.1961545555955,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:45:53.653Z","priceCents":18,"iy":496.5887521735092,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T22:16:03.932Z","priceCents":17,"iy":532.2454291809639,"cri":4.882}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 497%","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 4.22)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.00","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.25","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.50","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20upper%20bound%20of%20the%20federal%20funds%20rate%20be%20above%202.50","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":144}