{"ticker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.50","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?","description":"If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Apr 28, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":76,"bestAsk":84,"spread":8,"volume":19819.9,"volume24h":108,"openInterest":2334.69,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-28T17:55:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Stagflation traps the Fed in an impossible triangle. Powell stays until Warsh co","thesisSlug":"powell-warsh-fed-succession","thesisPrice":58,"edge":-15,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-11T06:04:14.568Z","firstDetectedPrice":46}],"indicators":{"tauDays":335,"iyYes":42.38058461652787,"iyNo":280.23080440316386,"cri":2.571,"ee":-18,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0556,"cvr":null,"overround":8.57,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":80,"askDepthUsd":10502,"volume24h":108,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":-15,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:00:45.662Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T0.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T1.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.50","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T2.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T3.75","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T4.00","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFED-27APR-T4.25","connectedTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFED-27APR","groupLabel":"KXFED-27APR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":4,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:30:22.273Z","priceCents":58,"iy":149.9137836411983,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:30:44.746Z","priceCents":59,"iy":156.2565530159945,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:45:22.832Z","priceCents":58,"iy":149.95526134007443,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:16:06.147Z","priceCents":59,"iy":156.271429722122,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:22.717Z","priceCents":60,"iy":162.93285083385908,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":61,"iy":169.9225942101156,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:45:25.531Z","priceCents":58,"iy":150.0485584635821,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":59,"iy":156.37285271427254,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:45:33.684Z","priceCents":58,"iy":150.06687439267924,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:30:53.128Z","priceCents":60,"iy":163.0192050022331,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T21:45:23.403Z","priceCents":59,"iy":156.39706480437837,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:00:22.302Z","priceCents":58,"iy":150.10888389329546,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:15:34.506Z","priceCents":60,"iy":163.05464638733443,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:02:20.452Z","priceCents":59,"iy":156.4413177974428,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:15:22.976Z","priceCents":58,"iy":150.13213329747748,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:15:26.464Z","priceCents":61,"iy":170.08611177571885,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:46.173Z","priceCents":62,"iy":177.42902133507536,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:00:44.402Z","priceCents":51,"iy":113.19254730296183,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:15:37.081Z","priceCents":58,"iy":150.18805076341926,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:30:27.514Z","priceCents":52,"iy":117.8237981724275,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:15:43.990Z","priceCents":60,"iy":163.15571462203,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:30:23.886Z","priceCents":53,"iy":122.65972442427446,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:45:28.425Z","priceCents":52,"iy":117.84205737082823,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:15:40.649Z","priceCents":62,"iy":177.48983413837743,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:30:23.947Z","priceCents":52,"iy":117.85294535497954,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:15:24.134Z","priceCents":63,"iy":185.24960400329266,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:30:30.600Z","priceCents":54,"iy":127.72285889248536,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:38.089Z","priceCents":55,"iy":132.98726833220388,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:15:38.305Z","priceCents":54,"iy":127.73466237868772,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:15:25.332Z","priceCents":53,"iy":122.73214377368005,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:45:22.133Z","priceCents":54,"iy":127.77427711265143,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:00:44.548Z","priceCents":53,"iy":122.74385593875003,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:15:24.996Z","priceCents":54,"iy":127.78227922353496,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:00:45.959Z","priceCents":56,"iy":138.55117228933173,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:30:36.788Z","priceCents":61,"iy":170.2814282042181,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:34.013Z","priceCents":56,"iy":138.56894347281977,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:27.960Z","priceCents":60,"iy":163.31778209977446,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:25.566Z","priceCents":61,"iy":170.36069717121669,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:24.477Z","priceCents":62,"iy":177.7324419118073,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:24.293Z","priceCents":63,"iy":185.49177624892147,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:45.486Z","priceCents":62,"iy":177.74888692908678,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:30:42.345Z","priceCents":63,"iy":185.50894028854847,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:45:37.754Z","priceCents":64,"iy":193.69412844773063,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:00:25.491Z","priceCents":65,"iy":202.34783187176654,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:43.825Z","priceCents":71,"iy":266.76359300244565,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:30:24.725Z","priceCents":72,"iy":280.19148550531486,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":73,"iy":294.61342285070134,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:00:24.185Z","priceCents":71,"iy":266.78828190508347,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:15:49.334Z","priceCents":72,"iy":280.2174180076157,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:45:39.030Z","priceCents":76,"iy":345.10419807935955,"cri":3.167}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+15c executable edge (yes)","17 connected markets"],"warnings":["price drifted 67% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFED-27APR-T3.50","marketTitle":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.00","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.25","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFED-27APR-T0.50","reason":"Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20upper%20bound%20of%20the%20federal%20funds%20rate%20be%20above%203.50","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":188}