{"ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-C25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?","description":"If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":4,"bestAsk":12,"spread":8,"volume":11611.44,"volume24h":4.08,"openInterest":4421.71,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-16T17:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":111,"iyYes":7899.791683575468,"iyNo":13.714916117318523,"cri":24,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8,"bidDepthUsd":347191,"askDepthUsd":2206,"volume24h":4.08},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T20:42:01.804Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-C26","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?: C","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H0","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?: Fe","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H25","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?: H","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H26","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-26SEP","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-26SEP"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T01:00:26.574Z","priceCents":2,"iy":15591.899360980586,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T07:15:37.156Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7654.198013054076,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T08:15:41.801Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6061.7979983392315,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:15:25.365Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4246.421284522109,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:30:43.005Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5007.911069074434,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T14:00:25.889Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6074.488026207452,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:00:27.158Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5010.631710537076,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:15:45.130Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6077.309333730599,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:30:26.993Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5011.553888445819,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T15:45:46.022Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6078.374659269191,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:15:26.783Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2883.9822659233573,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:15:26.718Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3241.196124811667,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:30:37.266Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2885.299465099734,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:15:36.103Z","priceCents":13,"iy":2147.648374063468,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:30:28.148Z","priceCents":10,"iy":2888.4707371975237,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T00:45:40.534Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3691.1482790763116,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T01:30:25.790Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3246.2423632918067,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:00:25.192Z","priceCents":11,"iy":2598.122409675557,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:30:27.169Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6102.336222447093,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:45:58.256Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5032.238003883814,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:01:09.863Z","priceCents":8,"iy":3694.234441970375,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:15:27.454Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3248.328159870752,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:30:43.071Z","priceCents":12,"iy":2356.1584347831194,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T03:45:25.918Z","priceCents":9,"iy":3248.928680073205,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:00:58.475Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6105.720976915355,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:16:02.046Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7716.022196776183,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:30:26.261Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6109.05567300916,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T05:45:39.091Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5037.779676795086,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:00:25.680Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6110.185992828129,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:01:06.791Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7720.986805573918,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T07:30:45.693Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6113.579463309707,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T08:01:02.615Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7723.846052109509,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T08:15:26.933Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6115.250650324058,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T08:30:59.266Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7725.276469654479,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:01:21.699Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6116.976705211998,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:15:26.160Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7727.320842595534,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:30:45.856Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6118.055984402706,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:45:25.678Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7728.752547576825,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T10:00:45.308Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6119.189637525146,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T10:30:25.513Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7730.866986726915,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T11:00:27.663Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6121.404171558199,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T11:45:42.526Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7734.484676714434,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:16:26.897Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6124.269238241579,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:30:53.849Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7736.602253859469,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:15:23.557Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6135.539237370608,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T19:46:09.011Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7757.292386164391,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:16:13.737Z","priceCents":6,"iy":5064.729935196256,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:30:23.413Z","priceCents":5,"iy":6142.8761238318775,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:00:22.968Z","priceCents":7,"iy":4296.193733087968,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:15:38.542Z","priceCents":4,"iy":7761.622498072885,"cri":24}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 7900%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 24.0","illiquid (LAS 2.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-C26","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their Septem"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H0","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their Septemb"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H25","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their Septem"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Cut%20rates%20by%2025bps%20at%20their%20Septemb","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":118}