{"ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H25","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?","description":"If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":2,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":19,"spread":17,"volume":451.26,"volume24h":32.96,"openInterest":417.3,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-07-28T17:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":17,"bidDepthUsd":1033,"askDepthUsd":779,"volume24h":32.96,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-07-13T07:51:37.110Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C25","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?: Cut 25b","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C26","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?: Cut >2","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H0","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?: Fed mai","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H26","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?: Hike ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:30:26.530Z","priceCents":9,"iy":904.5967075566712,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T18:45:56.925Z","priceCents":10,"iy":805.2121862797726,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T19:00:27.485Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1699.934061678069,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T19:30:31.087Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2893.019166405188,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:00:32.110Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1700.104923562694,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:15:55.306Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1401.8787054175195,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:30:27.726Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2147.6115176699886,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T20:46:03.471Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1401.9508814597614,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:00:28.120Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2147.72209064564,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T21:30:28.987Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1700.3675343812595,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:00:48.879Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2147.943270758548,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:15:33.660Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1402.1640160004445,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:31:04.938Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1700.5426533369623,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T22:45:26.941Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2148.1065519702015,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T23:15:30.421Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2894.125917569932,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T02:31:01.076Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2148.9338736740883,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T02:45:30.912Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2895.1624905348103,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T03:45:29.497Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1701.4521839187619,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T04:16:10.063Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2149.3187689997567,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T05:00:56.619Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2895.830266149744,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T10:30:27.136Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2150.690749820162,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T11:00:49.730Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2897.607765146865,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-16T21:00:50.121Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2153.0006832582076,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T04:45:42.792Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1705.8130468256134,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T07:15:52.124Z","priceCents":4,"iy":2155.2625557575775,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T08:15:53.562Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1407.0528987914354,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-17T22:30:44.498Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2908.1682523802133,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T07:15:40.321Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4411.180746188775,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T09:15:40.447Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2911.382308367233,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T07:16:00.594Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4488.677289576782,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T09:16:23.305Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2962.5408651573234,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T07:16:00.630Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4568.945476654566,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T18:02:04.527Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9241.735251842721,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T19:02:01.917Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4574.683596108002,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T19:16:25.070Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9242.964501491253,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T17:16:55.895Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4669.359239117665,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T19:46:56.173Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9436.573741594308,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T20:03:00.384Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4670.761580929399,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T20:16:06.522Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9437.0666353273,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T20:32:00.476Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4671.005552450548,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T17:01:23.605Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9458.43367186682,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T17:16:04.578Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4681.569510247887,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T18:46:57.881Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9460.241329748382,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T19:02:13.316Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4682.4765156196,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T19:16:26.563Z","priceCents":1,"iy":9460.761468898743,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T19:31:40.412Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4682.721712538226,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T23:45:58.496Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3091.3918641516416,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:01:26.299Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4686.046663959231,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T02:31:58.396Z","priceCents":3,"iy":3092.3233868910993,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T15:01:03.526Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4692.698439353072,"cri":49}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H25","marketTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C25","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-C26","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H0","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 20"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Hike%20rates%20by%2025bps%20at%20their%20July%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":133}