{"ticker":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C26","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?","description":"If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of   25bps on January 26, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":6,"spread":1,"volume":1969.76,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":249.71,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-01-26T18:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":492,"iyYes":1408.917114635266,"iyNo":3.90281749206445,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.27,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1544,"askDepthUsd":961,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T13:52:55.808Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C25","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?: Cut ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-28JAN","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-H0","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2028 meeting?: Fed ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-28JAN","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-H25","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?: Hik","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-28JAN","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-H26","connectedTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?: Hi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDDECISION-28JAN","groupLabel":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-25T05:01:43.935Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3442.1966931046354,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-25T05:16:01.123Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2271.420836124092,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T18:02:53.151Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3452.4427697528567,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T18:16:54.081Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2278.1864850552124,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T22:01:06.332Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3453.5427536427783,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-26T22:31:01.025Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2278.960760421716,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T01:32:04.413Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3454.5233298630365,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T11:16:03.373Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2281.3043867669526,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T15:32:21.835Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3458.4244589987675,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-27T17:46:07.561Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2282.495666127068,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-28T14:31:00.310Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3464.8363186913243,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T04:02:15.261Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2288.8169586435565,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T04:15:58.574Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3468.686786407635,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-29T08:15:59.782Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2289.59847795538,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-31T23:45:56.329Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2301.412568748241,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T09:16:06.408Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1716.284127310665,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T09:47:03.547Z","priceCents":2,"iy":3504.231136225149,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-03T15:32:09.029Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2313.3990925438047,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-04T08:17:10.486Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1719.5149240547576,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-09T20:46:13.447Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1134.756558171901,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-10T13:01:07.614Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2345.0949066300514,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:20.812Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1396.870285436897,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1409%","4 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 4c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C26","marketTitle":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":4},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C25","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-H0","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-H25","reason":"Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their Januar"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Federal%20Reserve%20Cut%20rates%20by%20%3E25bps%20at%20their%20Januar","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":175}