{"ticker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-CENT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jul 2026 press conference?","description":"If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Central Bank at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":82,"bestBid":81,"bestAsk":82,"spread":1,"volume":5543.51,"volume24h":2677.06,"openInterest":2937.29,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-30T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":2,"iyYes":4909.247932948238,"iyNo":89223.20135200389,"cri":4.263,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0123,"cvr":null,"overround":11.54,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2801,"askDepthUsd":2246,"volume24h":2677.06},"computedAt":"2026-07-28T20:14:35.055Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-ADP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jul 2026 press conference?: ADP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-AI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-ANCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Anchor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-BAL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Balance Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-BITC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Bitcoin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-CONS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Cons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-CRED","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Credit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-CRYP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Jul 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-DISS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Dissent","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Dollar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-EGG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Egg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-FAMI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Family Fight / Family Feud at his Jul 2026 press conference","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jul 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-GOOD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Good Afte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-GOODD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Day at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Good Day","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-GOODS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Goods inflation at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Goods in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Iran at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-LAYO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Layoff at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Layoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-NATI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Jul 2026 press conference?: National D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-NQE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 press conference?: E","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-OIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-PAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Pandemic at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Pandemic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-PRES","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Jul 2026 press conference?: President","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-PROB","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Probability at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Probability","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-PROD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Productivit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-PROJ","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Projection","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-QE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jul 2026 press conference?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-QT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jul 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-RECE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Recession","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-RENO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Renovation at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Renovation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-REST","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Restrictive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-SHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Shock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-SHUT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Shu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-SLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Slowdown / Slow Down at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Slo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-SOFT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Softening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-STAG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Stagflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-TAX","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Tax","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-TRU","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Truflation at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Truflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-TRUM","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-UNCE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-UNCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Unchanged at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Unchanged","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-VOLA","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jul 2026 press conference?: Volatility","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUL","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T12:30:58.948Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7756.2188793686955,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T20:03:00.384Z","priceCents":79,"iy":6953.085062260677,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T20:46:09.618Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7404.402069175374,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T00:03:01.498Z","priceCents":81,"iy":7946.747518405331,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T14:31:55.931Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7693.118347560333,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T15:01:11.074Z","priceCents":81,"iy":8207.894459220108,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-11T18:01:00.581Z","priceCents":80,"iy":7752.349599107952,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T16:46:38.786Z","priceCents":76,"iy":6462.946395288153,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-12T17:02:18.841Z","priceCents":77,"iy":6836.885367532761,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-13T05:46:01.459Z","priceCents":70,"iy":4910.722866093909,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-14T23:46:00.835Z","priceCents":74,"iy":6662.259692465554,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T00:03:04.890Z","priceCents":73,"iy":6333.687515896615,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T00:16:03.346Z","priceCents":71,"iy":5738.637873459879,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T00:46:00.294Z","priceCents":72,"iy":6035.440991392376,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-15T05:17:03.903Z","priceCents":74,"iy":6762.000610858255,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T09:30:57.023Z","priceCents":80,"iy":10291.111581024887,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-16T14:46:45.322Z","priceCents":79,"iy":9830.292368952165,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T05:31:22.389Z","priceCents":80,"iy":10933.872538006442,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T10:01:27.030Z","priceCents":79,"iy":10429.099484241518,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T10:16:21.178Z","priceCents":70,"iy":6474.090966679336,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T10:46:18.816Z","priceCents":71,"iy":6803.355079217148,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T17:01:17.381Z","priceCents":70,"iy":6615.400548909946,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T17:15:58.256Z","priceCents":71,"iy":6946.678246697546,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T17:45:59.923Z","priceCents":70,"iy":6631.368579511536,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T18:01:42.930Z","priceCents":71,"iy":6964.0016338464175,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T20:02:28.274Z","priceCents":70,"iy":6680.786528605795,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T20:15:59.197Z","priceCents":71,"iy":7014.8417431130565,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T01:00:57.666Z","priceCents":70,"iy":6791.058660925496,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T02:31:00.644Z","priceCents":73,"iy":7908.734186983905,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T02:46:21.373Z","priceCents":71,"iy":7167.313840673503,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T03:02:11.567Z","priceCents":72,"iy":7534.490074427458,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T04:02:33.620Z","priceCents":73,"iy":7948.867111170776,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T04:45:57.941Z","priceCents":72,"iy":7578.291712324817,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T09:02:22.949Z","priceCents":71,"iy":7320.559430287312,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T09:46:21.003Z","priceCents":72,"iy":7708.372442275201,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T10:02:28.722Z","priceCents":73,"iy":8112.222374450076,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T11:02:11.868Z","priceCents":72,"iy":7742.072330045603,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T12:46:22.832Z","priceCents":73,"iy":8188.962342144649,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T13:16:23.378Z","priceCents":72,"iy":7801.9237620235135,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T13:46:14.019Z","priceCents":73,"iy":8216.918000431739,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T15:30:59.567Z","priceCents":74,"iy":8702.740670571782,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T20:00:58.318Z","priceCents":75,"iy":10186.994138989672,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:15:58.635Z","priceCents":76,"iy":10889.705420513787,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-19T23:45:58.060Z","priceCents":73,"iy":9316.075255846801,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T00:15:58.619Z","priceCents":74,"iy":9826.391920603044,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T01:02:20.546Z","priceCents":72,"iy":8904.852263486038,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T02:01:36.713Z","priceCents":73,"iy":9399.484254232322,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T02:15:59.106Z","priceCents":78,"iy":12337.600429887589,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T17:16:01.949Z","priceCents":79,"iy":13920.268026107446,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-20T18:15:58.273Z","priceCents":81,"iy":15842.523229270495,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 4909%","tight LAS 0.012","43 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 74c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-CENT","marketTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jul 2026 press conference?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":74},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-ADP","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jul 2026 press conference?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-AI","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUL-ANCH","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jul 2026 press"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kevin%20Warsh%20say%20Central%20Bank%20at%20his%20Jul%202026%20press%20conf","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":163}