{"ticker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BITC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Jun 2026 press conference?","description":"If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Bitcoin at his Jun 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":4,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":4,"spread":1,"volume":685.01,"volume24h":574.21,"openInterest":685.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":100000,"iyNo":139.74572658844312,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":16.36,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":2700,"askDepthUsd":3235,"volume24h":574.21},"computedAt":"2026-06-10T12:23:00.585Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ADP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ANCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Anchor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BAL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Balance Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CENT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Central Ban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CONS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Cons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRED","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Credit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRYP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DISS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dissent","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dollar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-EGG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Egg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOOD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Good Afte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOODS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Goods inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Goods in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Iran at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-LAYO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Layoff at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Layoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NATI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Jun 2026 press conference?: National D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NQE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jun 2026 press conference?: E","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-OIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Pandemic at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Pandemic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-POWE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Powell at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PRES","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Jun 2026 press conference?: President","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROB","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Probability at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Probability","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Productivit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROJ","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Projection","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jun 2026 press conference?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Recession","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RENO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Renovation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Renovation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-REST","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Restrictive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHUT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Slowdown / Slow Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Slo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SOFT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Softening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-STAG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Stagflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TARR","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tariff Inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tariff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TAX","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tax","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TRUM","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Unchanged at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Unchanged","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-VOLA","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Volatility","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-WIFE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Wife at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Wife","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:30:22.273Z","priceCents":4,"iy":39706.28229534947,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:01:02.876Z","priceCents":5,"iy":31583.022133163307,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:30:24.446Z","priceCents":4,"iy":39932.53407485071,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:55.045Z","priceCents":5,"iy":31629.116117850946,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:00:24.257Z","priceCents":4,"iy":39970.797590801245,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:15:22.717Z","priceCents":5,"iy":31718.807171606284,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:21.832Z","priceCents":8,"iy":19216.68269010667,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:55.473Z","priceCents":4,"iy":40124.58776108465,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":5,"iy":31794.42508710801,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:01:04.011Z","priceCents":8,"iy":21665.63435532157,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:15:23.697Z","priceCents":9,"iy":19058.849181757672,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T05:45:29.343Z","priceCents":6,"iy":29562.8048044943,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T06:00:55.069Z","priceCents":5,"iy":35871.30812600217,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:29.313Z","priceCents":7,"iy":29041.11698578101,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:45:28.815Z","priceCents":6,"iy":34288.74098059203,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:00:43.883Z","priceCents":7,"iy":29096.878160840715,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:31:05.123Z","priceCents":8,"iy":25217.78311805347,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T22:45:29.231Z","priceCents":4,"iy":52660.054102795315,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:30:33.168Z","priceCents":6,"iy":36452.68906313083,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T21:45:27.315Z","priceCents":4,"iy":55878.03788990241,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T16:15:26.124Z","priceCents":6,"iy":38362.62802450914,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T17:00:48.843Z","priceCents":4,"iy":58894.71561113352,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T17:15:26.629Z","priceCents":5,"iy":46656.35091496231,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:30:43.735Z","priceCents":4,"iy":59474.506076447826,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T21:30:25.638Z","priceCents":7,"iy":33017.53737513252,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:30:25.807Z","priceCents":3,"iy":80579.45286540125,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:45:44.804Z","priceCents":7,"iy":33134.85284786959,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:00:26.459Z","priceCents":4,"iy":60069.94445587327,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T00:16:11.448Z","priceCents":5,"iy":47591.270930551735,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T14:00:24.676Z","priceCents":7,"iy":34637.755102040814,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T14:16:22.474Z","priceCents":6,"iy":40877.35601782353,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:00:49.260Z","priceCents":7,"iy":35270.097565537224,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T20:30:57.183Z","priceCents":5,"iy":50513.51154490494,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:15:24.518Z","priceCents":6,"iy":41745.75363800068,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:30:54.295Z","priceCents":7,"iy":35429.86567023974,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:45:23.744Z","priceCents":6,"iy":41809.8510882016,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:00:44.037Z","priceCents":7,"iy":35484.30933913152,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:15:24.189Z","priceCents":8,"iy":30737.40480374927,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T00:00:45.744Z","priceCents":5,"iy":51056.46764337774,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:30:24.098Z","priceCents":4,"iy":64989.98442020923,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T03:00:55.047Z","priceCents":5,"iy":51530.68806657749,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:00:42.954Z","priceCents":4,"iy":84101.38248847927,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:15:30.442Z","priceCents":5,"iy":66644.24370555447,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T14:16:14.795Z","priceCents":7,"iy":48546.25802668648,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T14:30:30.350Z","priceCents":5,"iy":69495.94147710192,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T00:30:46.936Z","priceCents":4,"iy":91612.63334030537,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T07:45:44.669Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T13:00:43.211Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:30:28.630Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:15:40.133Z","priceCents":3,"iy":100000,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 100000%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kevin%20Warsh%20say%20Bitcoin%20at%20his%20Jun%202026%20press%20conferenc","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":176}