{"ticker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROB","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kevin Warsh say Probability at his Jun 2026 press conference?","description":"If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Probability at his Jun 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":48,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":49,"spread":19,"volume":42.28,"volume24h":42.28,"openInterest":41.28,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":21,"iyYes":4122.097994611427,"iyNo":757.1200398265885,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.6333,"cvr":null,"overround":14.66,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":19,"bidDepthUsd":162,"askDepthUsd":221,"volume24h":42.28},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T22:18:23.585Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ADP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ANCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Anchor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BAL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Balance Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BITC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Bitcoin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CENT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Central Ban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CONS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Cons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRED","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Credit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRYP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DISS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dissent","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dollar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-EGG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Egg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOOD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Good Afte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOODS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Goods inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Goods in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Iran at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-LAYO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Layoff at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Layoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NATI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Jun 2026 press conference?: National D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NQE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jun 2026 press conference?: E","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-OIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Pandemic at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Pandemic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-POWE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Powell at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PRES","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Jun 2026 press conference?: President","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Productivit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROJ","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Projection","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jun 2026 press conference?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Recession","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RENO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Renovation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Renovation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-REST","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Restrictive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHUT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Slowdown / Slow Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Slo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SOFT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Softening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-STAG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Stagflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TARR","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tariff Inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tariff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TAX","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tax","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TRUM","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Unchanged at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Unchanged","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-VOLA","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Volatility","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-WIFE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Wife at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Wife","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:30:42.430Z","priceCents":3,"iy":52697.77480092283,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:30:48.334Z","priceCents":4,"iy":39407.98056592739,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:45:33.412Z","priceCents":3,"iy":53418.12640504535,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:15:43.906Z","priceCents":4,"iy":39688.29285973179,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T12:30:22.273Z","priceCents":22,"iy":5865.700793631171,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T15:45:55.045Z","priceCents":23,"iy":5573.093686669389,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:15:40.938Z","priceCents":22,"iy":5907.472423495431,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:30:46.558Z","priceCents":23,"iy":5580.984342265953,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T16:45:23.254Z","priceCents":22,"iy":5913.141005670135,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.011Z","priceCents":23,"iy":5591.4547530847,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:45:21.832Z","priceCents":24,"iy":5291.550305971403,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:01:55.473Z","priceCents":26,"iy":4758.364574231192,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":28,"iy":4303.004899007099,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:45:24.326Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4098.801438653209,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:35.683Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4043.6172569873074,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:47.431Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4251.287771908527,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.173Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4053.625257813739,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:48.608Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4255.539262132352,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:25.238Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4061.744881088643,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.161Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4270.180578464054,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":28,"iy":4487.337103516105,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:52.282Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4276.720218498074,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:25.121Z","priceCents":28,"iy":4493.997742740859,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:46.314Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4281.022753929158,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4094.157613050028,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 4122%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.63)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kevin%20Warsh%20say%20Probability%20at%20his%20Jun%202026%20press%20confe","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":187}