{"ticker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SOFT","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Jun 2026 press conference?","description":"If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Softening at his Jun 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":47,"bestBid":36,"bestAsk":49,"spread":13,"volume":271.06,"volume24h":4.16,"openInterest":244.07,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":8074.774625297275,"iyNo":2554.9091587854655,"cri":1.778,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3611,"cvr":null,"overround":16.42,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":13},"computedAt":"2026-06-10T13:28:10.109Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ADP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ANCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Anchor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BAL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Balance Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BITC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Bitcoin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CENT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Central Ban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CONS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Cons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRED","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Credit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRYP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DISS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dissent","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dollar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-EGG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Egg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOOD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Good Afte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOODS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Goods inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Goods in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Iran at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-LAYO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Layoff at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Layoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NATI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Jun 2026 press conference?: National D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NQE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jun 2026 press conference?: E","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-OIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Pandemic at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Pandemic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-POWE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Powell at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PRES","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Jun 2026 press conference?: President","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROB","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Probability at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Probability","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Productivit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROJ","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Projection","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jun 2026 press conference?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Recession","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RENO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Renovation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Renovation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-REST","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Restrictive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHUT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Slowdown / Slow Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Slo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-STAG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Stagflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TARR","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tariff Inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tariff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TAX","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tax","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TRUM","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Unchanged at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Unchanged","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-VOLA","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Volatility","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-WIFE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Wife at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Wife","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:15:27.674Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2598.5703248806185,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T02:30:45.997Z","priceCents":48,"iy":2399.518579201813,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T03:45:48.431Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3783.3231051712814,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:30:25.575Z","priceCents":44,"iy":2833.2852802235584,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:45:59.540Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2615.0641493412586,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T05:15:27.909Z","priceCents":48,"iy":2416.381487818789,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T05:30:44.870Z","priceCents":46,"iy":2620.021162220651,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:15:26.943Z","priceCents":35,"iy":4152.773037169289,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:30:57.761Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3977.9848509618005,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T14:31:08.127Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3889.6387938821285,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T14:45:48.925Z","priceCents":36,"iy":4063.6829213983524,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T15:45:49.665Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3902.093843702433,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T16:00:54.570Z","priceCents":36,"iy":4076.959593421016,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:31:00.736Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3983.1217489360156,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:45:33.065Z","priceCents":36,"iy":4161.411459558065,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T00:15:43.162Z","priceCents":37,"iy":3991.051159044994,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T10:16:30.522Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3929.5698831374048,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T10:45:37.361Z","priceCents":37,"iy":4106.28666327378,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T11:00:34.996Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3937.364071335363,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T11:15:36.322Z","priceCents":37,"iy":4111.992103258479,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:00:28.425Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3785.0390233868325,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:15:35.413Z","priceCents":37,"iy":4123.177114618765,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:30:26.796Z","priceCents":39,"iy":3790.3162654191738,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T12:45:36.195Z","priceCents":38,"iy":3956.4597115962906,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T13:00:24.411Z","priceCents":40,"iy":3640.0505285552817,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T01:16:25.554Z","priceCents":41,"iy":3614.8926527118,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T21:00:51.836Z","priceCents":42,"iy":3677.0325287979217,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:30:24.098Z","priceCents":43,"iy":3589.5630929766726,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T22:15:28.385Z","priceCents":44,"iy":3670.555108608207,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T22:30:36.173Z","priceCents":43,"iy":3826.312449998621,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:51.279Z","priceCents":44,"iy":3713.3929220260165,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T01:30:29.786Z","priceCents":45,"iy":4240.599915504859,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:15:30.442Z","priceCents":46,"iy":4117.607734668126,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:30:35.739Z","priceCents":47,"iy":3959.5550233848116,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T21:46:43.306Z","priceCents":44,"iy":4801.007178022474,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T04:01:11.997Z","priceCents":34,"iy":7524.738867509619,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T04:15:29.342Z","priceCents":35,"iy":7206.6462136630125,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:01:31.082Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7347.020933977456,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:15:30.886Z","priceCents":35,"iy":7682.841922896327,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T18:45:28.686Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7372.061905122574,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:45:28.559Z","priceCents":35,"iy":7738.095238095239,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T20:00:43.558Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7415.873015873017,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T21:00:52.624Z","priceCents":37,"iy":7136.960111236638,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T21:45:32.966Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7478.263096564353,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T22:00:42.843Z","priceCents":37,"iy":7171.549578657818,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T22:45:28.447Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7514.636813999871,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:01:37.141Z","priceCents":37,"iy":7206.475956475955,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T23:45:55.317Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7551.366099021167,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:00:31.705Z","priceCents":37,"iy":7240.900460054601,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:45:41.395Z","priceCents":36,"iy":7587.568859785885,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 8075%","44 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.36)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kevin%20Warsh%20say%20Softening%20at%20his%20Jun%202026%20press%20confere","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":205}