{"ticker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-VOLA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jun 2026 press conference?","description":"If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Volatility at his Jun 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":23,"bestBid":22,"bestAsk":23,"spread":1,"volume":234.8,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":232.8,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":15939.043097560156,"iyNo":1267.997511377238,"cri":3.545,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0455,"cvr":null,"overround":16.45,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":598,"askDepthUsd":3404,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-06-10T11:35:06.394Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NQE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jun 2026 press conference?: E","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOOD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Good Afte","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOODS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Goods inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Goods in","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-LAYO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Layoff at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Layoff","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TRUM","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Trump at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PAND","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Pandemic at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Pandemic","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QT / Quantitative Tightening at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-QE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say QE / Quantitative Easing at his Jun 2026 press conference?:","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RECE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Recession at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Recession","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROB","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Probability at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Probability","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-REST","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Restrictive at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Restrictive","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHUT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shutdown / Shut Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shu","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TARR","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tariff Inflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tariff ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-TAX","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Tax at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Tax","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Unchanged at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Unchanged","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ADP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say ADP at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ADP","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRED","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Credit at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Credit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CENT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Central Bank at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Central Ban","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOLD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gold at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Gold","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GAS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas at his Jun 2026 press conferen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-OIL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Oil at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-IRAN","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Iran at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Iran","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PRES","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say President at his Jun 2026 press conference?: President","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SHOC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Shock at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Shock","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SLOW","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Slowdown / Slow Down at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Slo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-UNCE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Uncertainty at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Uncertainty","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-ANCH","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Anchor / Anchored at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Anchor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BAL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Balance Sheet at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Balance Sh","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-BITC","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Bitcoin at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Bitcoin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CONS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Consumer Confidence at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Cons","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DISS","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dissent at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dissent","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-DOLL","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Dollar at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Dollar","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-EGG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Egg at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Egg","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NATI","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say National Debt at his Jun 2026 press conference?: National D","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROD","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Productivity at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Productivit","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-PROJ","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Projection at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Projection","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-RENO","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Renovation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Renovation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-SOFT","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Softening at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Softening","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-STAG","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Stagflation at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Stagflation","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-CRYP","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Crypto / Cryptocurrency at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-POWE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Powell at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Powell","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-WIFE","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Wife at his Jun 2026 press conference?: Wife","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-2008","connectedTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say 2008 / Financial Crisis at his Jun 2026 press conference?: ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFEDMENTION-26JUN","groupLabel":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T17:30:52.011Z","priceCents":28,"iy":4294.735190681013,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":30,"iy":3904.5785194694054,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:45:24.326Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3249.8367661898255,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:29.368Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4041.5065091190945,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:30:35.683Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3857.2754479095506,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:31:47.431Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4051.6967967015544,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.173Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3866.822250541216,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:48.608Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4055.748686445387,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:25.238Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3874.567697628336,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.161Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3706.33631194151,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:42.217Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3884.2003960542625,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:52.282Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3712.0124431682216,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:25.121Z","priceCents":31,"iy":3889.965788071389,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:46.314Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3715.746862125131,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3562.448832134439,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T04:45:26.446Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3804.8810399803765,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T05:00:29.179Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3637.107269009108,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:15:48.753Z","priceCents":32,"iy":3824.3922883486994,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T07:30:27.968Z","priceCents":33,"iy":3655.7673822732268,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T13:45:25.637Z","priceCents":34,"iy":3540.8766205132715,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T18:15:26.901Z","priceCents":35,"iy":3419.548720461802,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T02:15:33.852Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4369.986488104401,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T02:45:33.538Z","priceCents":31,"iy":4173.101267920226,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T04:15:44.079Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4604.868028729117,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:15:27.280Z","priceCents":30,"iy":4445.95253010371,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T10:45:28.588Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3391.1099497720875,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T11:00:40.825Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4672.526481857111,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T16:15:24.056Z","priceCents":28,"iy":4964.410391259011,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T16:45:25.330Z","priceCents":29,"iy":4731.907279084842,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T16:15:26.090Z","priceCents":3,"iy":74196.32004694245,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T17:15:27.674Z","priceCents":4,"iy":55219.36459909228,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T17:45:48.877Z","priceCents":3,"iy":74491.36316775021,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T18:45:28.512Z","priceCents":4,"iy":55436.020756866215,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T19:00:55.865Z","priceCents":3,"iy":74736.66434466891,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:00:49.715Z","priceCents":4,"iy":55622.5792113785,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T20:15:27.044Z","priceCents":3,"iy":74983.5864201453,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T22:00:41.894Z","priceCents":24,"iy":7377.973530788545,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T22:15:27.248Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5994.963135995327,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T20:30:43.735Z","priceCents":15,"iy":14042.591712494626,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T21:30:25.638Z","priceCents":22,"iy":8811.131674888738,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T02:30:25.947Z","priceCents":23,"iy":8439.50909413033,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T05:15:25.781Z","priceCents":22,"iy":9009.265588212957,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T06:15:29.057Z","priceCents":23,"iy":8531.428623466663,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T22:15:24.189Z","priceCents":24,"iy":8463.923061901973,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:15:40.276Z","priceCents":22,"iy":9593.675654910734,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T02:30:24.098Z","priceCents":23,"iy":9065.631884703098,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:51.279Z","priceCents":22,"iy":10344.451711358186,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T07:30:47.139Z","priceCents":18,"iy":14754.017549048609,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T04:00:42.954Z","priceCents":21,"iy":13182.557969424332,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T22:30:32.750Z","priceCents":22,"iy":13417.220415665208,"cri":3.545}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 15939%","tight LAS 0.045","44 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 21c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-VOLA","marketTitle":"Will Kevin Warsh say Volatility at his Jun 2026 press conference?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":21},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-NQE","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say Event does not qualify at his Jun 2026 "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-AI","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jun"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFEDMENTION-26JUN-GOOD","reason":"Will Kevin Warsh say Good Afternoon at his Jun 2026 press co"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Kevin%20Warsh%20say%20Volatility%20at%20his%20Jun%202026%20press%20confer","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":170}