{"ticker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NH","venue":"kalshi","title":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?","description":"If New Hampshire is the first Democratic primary or caucus during the 2028 presidential cycle, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":46,"bestBid":37,"bestAsk":44,"spread":7,"volume":4695.85,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1606.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":865,"iyYes":71.82963079882141,"iyNo":24.775702837890275,"cri":1.703,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2162,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.19,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":1155,"askDepthUsd":220,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T09:42:52.027Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: Iowa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: Nevada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: South Carolina","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T06:30:39.940Z","priceCents":38,"iy":66.5129452472959,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T09:16:29.932Z","priceCents":39,"iy":63.770393816336856,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:46:04.060Z","priceCents":40,"iy":61.16115713558003,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:00:49.071Z","priceCents":41,"iy":58.68378123896274,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T18:30:37.180Z","priceCents":36,"iy":72.51338082959778,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T07:45:27.303Z","priceCents":37,"iy":69.96342307981817,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T15:45:25.046Z","priceCents":36,"iy":73.07570643186342,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T18:45:25.682Z","priceCents":37,"iy":69.99959300084434,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T05:31:35.497Z","priceCents":38,"iy":68.34171825515108,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:31:35.423Z","priceCents":37,"iy":71.36525756775099,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:45:33.892Z","priceCents":38,"iy":68.38503792181527,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:30:59.510Z","priceCents":37,"iy":71.60164042020494,"cri":1.703}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["3 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 0.22)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20state%20will%20be%20first%20in%20the%20Democratic%20presidential%20prim","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}