{"ticker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC","venue":"kalshi","title":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?","description":"If South Carolina is the first Democratic primary or caucus during the 2028 presidential cycle, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":28,"bestBid":28,"bestAsk":37,"spread":9,"volume":9305.47,"volume24h":14,"openInterest":1558.47,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-11-07T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":865,"iyYes":108.46173199353653,"iyNo":16.403163171862012,"cri":2.571,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3214,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.19,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":1046,"askDepthUsd":1627,"volume24h":14,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T06:46:34.748Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: Iowa","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NH","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: New Hampshire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV","connectedTitle":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?: Nevada","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28","groupLabel":"KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:30:54.213Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.41866620839228,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T17:45:28.548Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.47109217162087,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:01:28.656Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.42577583804272,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T19:15:27.155Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.47844105753936,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:01:00.969Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.44451396986875,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T23:15:31.269Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.49824073253353,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:15:37.124Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.46924545871451,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T04:45:59.540Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.52552191766695,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T05:00:43.074Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.47274724708939,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T05:15:27.008Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.52789486145005,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:15:26.101Z","priceCents":29,"iy":100.47862176287465,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:45:41.562Z","priceCents":28,"iy":105.53537033196736,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T12:15:26.675Z","priceCents":33,"iy":84.58495196522436,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-15T15:45:27.370Z","priceCents":28,"iy":107.14677118016051,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T20:15:56.318Z","priceCents":32,"iy":89.07233850991236,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T21:30:45.015Z","priceCents":28,"iy":107.79145159647014,"cri":2.571}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 108%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","illiquid (LAS 0.32)","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-IA","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NH","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-NV","reason":"What state will be first in the Democratic presidential prim"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20state%20will%20be%20first%20in%20the%20Democratic%20presidential%20prim","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":136}