{"ticker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-FHOL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?","description":"If François Hollande wins the next French presidential election (currently scheduled for 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":5,"spread":4,"volume":0,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":0,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-05-30T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.295,"label":"maker","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":50,"askDepthUsd":3582,"volume24h":0,"observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.05},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:47:23.040Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI","connectedTitle":"Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?: Édouard Philip","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP","connectedTitle":"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?: Marine Le Pen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?: Jordan Bardella","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-DLIS","connectedTitle":"Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?: David Lisnard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-BRET","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?: Bruno Retaille","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-GATT","connectedTitle":"Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?: Gabriel Attal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-JMEL","connectedTitle":"Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?: Jean-Luc Mél","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-FRUF","connectedTitle":"Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?: François Ruffin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-DVIL","connectedTitle":"Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?: Dominique","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-SKNA","connectedTitle":"Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?: Sarah Knafo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:15:22.595Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2434.6119186402652,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T05:45:27.834Z","priceCents":1,"iy":4920.725056274793,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T19:30:24.369Z","priceCents":2,"iy":2471.085467641008,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T20:30:33.199Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1632.9311078795324,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T20:00:55.485Z","priceCents":1,"iy":5020.500202153807,"cri":99}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["maker regime","10 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI","reason":"Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential elect"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP","reason":"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR","reason":"Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential electi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Fran%C3%A7ois%20Hollande%20win%20the%202027%20French%20presidential%20elec","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":111}