{"ticker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-JMEL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?","description":"If Jean-Luc Mélenchon wins the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":9,"bestBid":9,"bestAsk":11,"spread":2,"volume":5355,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":2542,"status":"active","closeTime":"2028-05-30T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":770,"iyYes":479.56260540739873,"iyNo":4.690806791208706,"cri":10.111,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2222,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.36,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1205,"askDepthUsd":1250,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:23:54.969Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI","connectedTitle":"Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?: Édouard Philip","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP","connectedTitle":"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?: Marine Le Pen","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR","connectedTitle":"Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?: Jordan Bardella","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-DLIS","connectedTitle":"Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?: David Lisnard","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-BRET","connectedTitle":"Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?: Bruno Retaille","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-GATT","connectedTitle":"Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?: Gabriel Attal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-FRUF","connectedTitle":"Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?: François Ruffin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-DVIL","connectedTitle":"Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?: Dominique","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-SLEC","connectedTitle":"Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?: Sébastien Lec","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRENCHPRES-27-SKNA","connectedTitle":"Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?: Sarah Knafo","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRENCHPRES-27","groupLabel":"KXFRENCHPRES-27"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:22:44.769Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1119.1541443197816,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T20:37:57.337Z","priceCents":5,"iy":886.008350325274,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T20:36:11.015Z","priceCents":3,"iy":1509.6954385067213,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T20:40:54.965Z","priceCents":5,"iy":887.1440230670237,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T22:50:55.067Z","priceCents":6,"iy":731.589884911593,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T21:15:40.312Z","priceCents":5,"iy":889.4480804722858,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:11:01.077Z","priceCents":6,"iy":734.5784555910819,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T12:50:33.054Z","priceCents":5,"iy":891.3331825285841,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T15:05:34.773Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1126.0305879267926,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T13:05:51.057Z","priceCents":5,"iy":892.4917442904979,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T08:20:34.137Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1128.522768848649,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T00:35:09.519Z","priceCents":5,"iy":894.1937363888497,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:45:59.284Z","priceCents":6,"iy":740.1482194808048,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T16:06:42.994Z","priceCents":8,"iy":543.7796018198966,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:45:24.478Z","priceCents":9,"iy":479.2867047902697,"cri":10.111}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 480%","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 10.1","illiquid (LAS 0.22)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-EPHI","reason":"Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential elect"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-MLEP","reason":"Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRENCHPRES-27-JBAR","reason":"Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential electi"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Jean-Luc%20M%C3%A9lenchon%20win%20the%202027%20French%20presidential%20ele","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1778}