{"ticker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-OFAU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Olivier Faure win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election?","description":"If Olivier Faure wins the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":15,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":12,"spread":7,"volume":6,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-10-01T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":418,"iyYes":1660.8550709365925,"iyNo":4.600706567691393,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.26,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":571,"askDepthUsd":2318,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T01:03:35.271Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-BCAZ","connectedTitle":"Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s ca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-BVAL","connectedTitle":"Will Boris Vallaud win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-FHOL","connectedTitle":"Will François Hollande win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s ca","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-JGUE","connectedTitle":"Will Jérôme Guedj win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candida","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-RBRU","connectedTitle":"Will Philippe Brun win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candid","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-RGLU","connectedTitle":"Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s c","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01","groupLabel":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T00:01:44.575Z","priceCents":18,"iy":376.55017137876496,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T00:16:00.018Z","priceCents":19,"iy":352.3893343733179,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T00:31:23.535Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.5806576493021,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T01:02:23.190Z","priceCents":21,"iy":310.9786742073738,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T01:15:58.038Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.6089931464408,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T03:00:52.671Z","priceCents":19,"iy":352.48033370761146,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T03:16:26.310Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.68579320494007,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T04:31:29.567Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.1820498852296,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T04:46:06.131Z","priceCents":20,"iy":330.7769860779139,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T05:01:20.522Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.75255985386804,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T06:46:10.353Z","priceCents":20,"iy":330.8399482439424,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T07:01:00.454Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.8284994548748,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T08:01:21.000Z","priceCents":19,"iy":352.6472879437568,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T08:15:57.194Z","priceCents":17,"iy":403.87609062875487,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T15:01:27.607Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.47326589461306,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T15:46:29.288Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.1627900213214,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T17:15:58.256Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.53517390644487,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T17:31:24.313Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.2297145600487,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T18:01:42.930Z","priceCents":21,"iy":311.4781227531663,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T18:15:57.273Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.5631409255684,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T18:45:57.402Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.2774003528603,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T19:16:02.295Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.5904472041465,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T19:31:43.498Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.3058337748512,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T20:02:28.274Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.61242911843254,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T20:45:58.563Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.353537529534,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T21:15:58.771Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.6464076430992,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-17T22:02:18.071Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.40217024937573,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T05:30:59.358Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.8758017070189,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T05:46:12.322Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.697888584447,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T06:30:58.058Z","priceCents":21,"iy":311.8459724230178,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T06:46:13.209Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.73649242890923,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T08:00:59.080Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.945223973458,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T08:30:56.812Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.8026875851913,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T08:46:26.385Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.9659234949296,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T09:16:29.960Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.8321146053725,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T09:46:21.003Z","priceCents":22,"iy":293.99397265887035,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T10:02:28.722Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.86154590424303,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T10:15:57.649Z","priceCents":22,"iy":294.0073312850238,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T10:31:16.816Z","priceCents":17,"iy":404.87994263922377,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T14:02:23.768Z","priceCents":22,"iy":294.11290712478444,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T14:31:22.770Z","priceCents":17,"iy":405.0336206649904,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T14:46:00.844Z","priceCents":22,"iy":294.1329617360601,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T15:46:17.534Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2682.6481423390906,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T17:02:02.626Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4065.9370637955412,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T22:01:23.719Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2684.2345477400268,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T22:16:04.397Z","priceCents":2,"iy":4067.9531269901922,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-18T23:45:58.459Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1103.1307855870575,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T05:31:02.085Z","priceCents":8,"iy":973.1009173461179,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-30T07:16:04.603Z","priceCents":6,"iy":1335.1825865105698,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T14:30:57.463Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1659.174264735788,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1661%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 14c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-OFAU","marketTitle":"Will Olivier Faure win the primary to select the French pôle socialiste’s candidate for the 2027 presidential election?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":14},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-BCAZ","reason":"Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the primary to select the French "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-BVAL","reason":"Will Boris Vallaud win the primary to select the French pôle"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXFRPSNOM-26OCT01-FHOL","reason":"Will François Hollande win the primary to select the French "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Olivier%20Faure%20win%20the%20primary%20to%20select%20the%20French%20p%C3%B4le","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":527}