{"ticker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-EMAC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will President of France be the first to leave office?","description":"If the individual holding the title of President of France at the time of Issuance is the first within G7 leaders to leave their position, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":31,"bestBid":31,"bestAsk":32,"spread":1,"volume":4618.21,"volume24h":52,"openInterest":2404.21,"status":"active","closeTime":"2045-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":6829,"iyYes":11.895801395200612,"iyNo":2.4011478976659926,"cri":2.226,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0323,"cvr":null,"overround":0.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":567,"askDepthUsd":1564,"volume24h":52},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T03:58:09.218Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-DJT","connectedTitle":"Will President of the United States be the first to leave office?: Donald Trump","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-GMEL","connectedTitle":"Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?: Giorgia Meloni","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-STAK","connectedTitle":"Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?: Sanae Takaichi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-KSTA","connectedTitle":"Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?: Keir St","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01","groupLabel":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T04:22:49.132Z","priceCents":27,"iy":14.422509563864066,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T13:38:46.363Z","priceCents":28,"iy":13.717681184886949,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T19:07:46.191Z","priceCents":31,"iy":11.874302523224927,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:05:44.024Z","priceCents":28,"iy":13.719640258085436,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:55:36.521Z","priceCents":29,"iy":13.062794681261483,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T20:25:46.521Z","priceCents":28,"iy":13.720251956451543,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T19:20:57.677Z","priceCents":34,"iy":10.360405967239457,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T19:25:59.164Z","priceCents":38,"iy":8.708033713289124,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T19:45:58.418Z","priceCents":37,"iy":9.087652740392452,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:55:46.803Z","priceCents":38,"iy":8.708536705693328,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T05:45:43.969Z","priceCents":44,"iy":6.7932041636359255,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T06:50:09.694Z","priceCents":37,"iy":9.089594586293595,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T07:25:10.769Z","priceCents":38,"iy":8.70994284584,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T10:05:11.215Z","priceCents":39,"iy":8.349865711170514,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T12:40:16.176Z","priceCents":40,"iy":8.007784590448255,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T23:36:03.563Z","priceCents":36,"iy":9.491339299160158,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T23:45:13.795Z","priceCents":37,"iy":9.0905319135289,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:05:13.847Z","priceCents":36,"iy":9.491368453639435,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T00:15:26.326Z","priceCents":37,"iy":9.09055983687958,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T03:50:53.191Z","priceCents":38,"iy":8.7110270554954,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:05:38.134Z","priceCents":39,"iy":8.350833045011118,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T05:10:32.050Z","priceCents":38,"iy":8.711098411307365,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T06:50:38.886Z","priceCents":39,"iy":8.350922217113775,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T09:50:32.829Z","priceCents":40,"iy":8.008817744907086,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T12:55:32.345Z","priceCents":41,"iy":7.683401034437315,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:35:34.562Z","priceCents":42,"iy":7.373365546546908,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:30:24.787Z","priceCents":36,"iy":9.493880576216126,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T19:40:57.258Z","priceCents":37,"iy":9.092965878126536,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T21:30:23.549Z","priceCents":39,"iy":8.35289059591735,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:35:47.999Z","priceCents":40,"iy":8.010612928207497,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T07:35:15.707Z","priceCents":41,"iy":7.685398808263198,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T10:35:40.595Z","priceCents":42,"iy":7.3753884742877736,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:05:32.544Z","priceCents":39,"iy":8.358015662857538,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T13:25:25.180Z","priceCents":31,"iy":11.894751161097266,"cri":2.226}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.032","4 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 28c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-EMAC","marketTitle":"Will President of France be the first to leave office?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":28},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-DJT","reason":"Will President of the United States be the first to leave of"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-GMEL","reason":"Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-STAK","reason":"Will Prime Minister of Japan be the first to leave office?: "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20President%20of%20France%20be%20the%20first%20to%20leave%20office%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1614}