{"ticker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.0","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026?","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":71,"bestBid":71,"bestAsk":74,"spread":3,"volume":1917.12,"volume24h":561,"openInterest":1438.12,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-30T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":100,"iyYes":149.74939435318166,"iyNo":897.6060605640769,"cri":2.448,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0704,"cvr":null,"overround":1.1,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3,"bidDepthUsd":2160,"askDepthUsd":293,"volume24h":561,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-04-21T23:09:41.162Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 1.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.0","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?: Above 2.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 2.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T22:08:03.682Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1085.238211814713,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:05:54.236Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1166.9936325679353,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:11:34.315Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1101.9835704267682,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:20:47.028Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1167.09887996222,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:25:24.276Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1102.082958358479,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:35:52.711Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1167.2146740244514,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T15:40:22.900Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1102.1823642194074,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:10:46.036Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1167.9099212040262,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:15:59.293Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1102.838892915344,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T16:56:02.901Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1189.2578312649077,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T18:00:57.662Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1123.441901404932,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T20:40:58.724Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1190.9761905160312,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:36:26.199Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1264.12745175404,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:45:58.692Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1191.4696298701897,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:50:58.973Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1264.2438431960577,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T21:56:00.568Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1191.5464238540314,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:10:58.289Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1264.406827226821,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:25:57.833Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1191.7768652124228,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:30:58.678Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1264.5698532862154,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T22:35:59.256Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1191.8536988072256,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T23:01:20.287Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1125.5943863257805,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T08:26:15.154Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1196.360241003346,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T10:10:09.734Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1130.436391484542,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-14T03:40:46.955Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1278.8801383062194,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:41:10.209Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1165.71096755462,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T22:15:48.980Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1237.2752305060706,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T01:00:45.196Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1169.5826123577506,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T15:05:17.665Z","priceCents":76,"iy":1112.5442370689796,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:10:16.895Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1246.1634623297084,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:56:06.139Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1189.9469488159805,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:11:28.084Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1279.0113650964224,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:16:03.792Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1207.7533424321286,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:30:51.313Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1279.1883646428205,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:35:59.155Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1207.9204856953504,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:45:50.414Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1279.3148228865693,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:50:55.028Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1208.0518450031445,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:45:23.424Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1279.8335631968957,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T09:50:25.508Z","priceCents":77,"iy":1208.541708771764,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:50:50.712Z","priceCents":78,"iy":1288.922330545422,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:35:31.408Z","priceCents":79,"iy":1368.033514093094,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:05:28.121Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1461.5931365188057,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T15:40:27.139Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1558.12493774615,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:10:41.248Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1462.25186787653,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:30:50.691Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1558.671199193593,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:35:26.364Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1462.5008764988133,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:50:47.342Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1558.8898110350317,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:00:27.836Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1462.7646251415176,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:11:05.203Z","priceCents":81,"iy":1559.1084842079954,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T17:40:27.293Z","priceCents":80,"iy":1463.1604265212864,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:40:28.217Z","priceCents":71,"iy":897.4347875020561,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 150%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 64c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.0","marketTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":64},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.5","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.0","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.5","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20**real%20GDP**%20increase%20by%20more%20than%201.0%25%20in%20Q2%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2609}