{"ticker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T3.0","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2026?","description":"If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":33,"bestBid":33,"bestAsk":34,"spread":1,"volume":1206.85,"volume24h":11,"openInterest":899.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-07-30T12:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":63,"iyYes":1183.443692905677,"iyNo":287.0951618566012,"cri":2.03,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0303,"cvr":null,"overround":4.32,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":5775,"askDepthUsd":637,"volume24h":11,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T21:46:39.199Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.0","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2026?: Above 0.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.0","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026?: Above 1.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 1.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.0","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?: Above 2.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T2.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 2.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T3.5","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q2 2026?: Above 3.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T4.0","connectedTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q2 2026?: Above 4.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDP-26JUL30","groupLabel":"KXGDP-26JUL30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T13:45:43.980Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1423.2208115174737,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T23:00:28.220Z","priceCents":24,"iy":1762.989175475257,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T02:16:07.133Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1587.8185336810345,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:15:25.287Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1675.7724622377302,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T04:30:45.287Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1590.1030947256381,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:30:49.423Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1678.1866388756916,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T06:45:26.087Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1592.3698306935325,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T08:45:27.066Z","priceCents":24,"iy":1773.9748804133733,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T09:01:21.699Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1594.6919959568856,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:16:26.897Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1684.3821624698119,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T12:30:53.849Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1598.249440523937,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:30:50.753Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1685.730560216759,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T13:45:31.584Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1599.5290834775335,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T15:30:48.881Z","priceCents":29,"iy":1377.4712360193184,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T17:15:23.557Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1689.78873782812,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:15:58.128Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1604.1726305936684,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:30:24.572Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1691.145809201687,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T18:45:33.299Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1604.66821212276,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T19:00:23.853Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1691.6944753429739,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T20:45:46.290Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1606.7530026233915,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T21:45:31.054Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1694.679171696536,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:00:40.693Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1608.0463041130504,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T22:45:23.925Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1695.7814532614755,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-26T23:30:37.827Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1609.5910411151883,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T02:00:23.703Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1699.3342334373108,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T07:30:40.284Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1617.9640130299717,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:16:08.153Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1706.2453253552728,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T08:45:47.129Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1619.2754326960544,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:00:25.043Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1708.1883843189867,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T10:30:31.042Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1621.1200553137446,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:30:24.890Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1709.8421323839414,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T11:45:33.412Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1622.4365982291954,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:00:23.381Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1711.5258370064707,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T13:15:34.796Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1624.0091199445874,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:00:49.071Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1712.65015015015,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:15:23.747Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1625.0761096363822,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T14:30:44.746Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1332.4988917572819,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:15:22.992Z","priceCents":25,"iy":1718.5096832920053,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T19:45:25.531Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1549.29094282596,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:00:52.940Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1631.200191323295,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:15:24.837Z","priceCents":27,"iy":1549.8018905896283,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T20:30:30.829Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1474.2113978755199,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T23:15:34.506Z","priceCents":29,"iy":1406.1473299478725,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:45:25.955Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1341.4397244667057,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:46.173Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1638.171022386113,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:30:23.947Z","priceCents":28,"iy":1482.9461196243203,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:45:37.561Z","priceCents":26,"iy":1641.6658562676262,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:01:33.740Z","priceCents":30,"iy":1346.104200582697,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:15:24.134Z","priceCents":32,"iy":1226.1101187182849,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:30:42.222Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1177.8758738943113,"cri":2.03}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 1183%","tight LAS 0.030","8 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 30c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGDP-26JUL30-T3.0","marketTitle":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q2 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":30},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.0","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T0.5","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDP-26JUL30-T1.0","reason":"Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q2 2026?: Ab"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20**real%20GDP**%20increase%20by%20more%20than%203.0%25%20in%20Q2%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":161}