{"ticker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B1.8","venue":"kalshi","title":"GDP growth in 2030?","description":"If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is between 1.6% to 2.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":14,"spread":9,"volume":5,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5,"status":"active","closeTime":"2031-02-28T13:29:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":1678,"iyYes":413.26574089578844,"iyNo":1.1447804456947053,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.38,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":1000,"askDepthUsd":2673,"volume24h":0,"observability":"low","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-07-26T11:14:09.745Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-T0.1","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.0% or Below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B0.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.1% to 0.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B0.8","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.6% to 1.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B1.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 1.1% to 1.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 2.1% to 2.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B2.8","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 2.6% to 3.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B3.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 3.1% to 3.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B3.8","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 3.6% to 4.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B4.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 4.1% to 4.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B4.8","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 4.6% to 5.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B5.3","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 5.1% to 5.5%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B5.8","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 5.6% to 6.0%","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGDPYEAR-30-T6.0","connectedTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?: 6.1% or Above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGDPYEAR-30","groupLabel":"KXGDPYEAR-30"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T19:45:56.519Z","priceCents":9,"iy":216.615204659141,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T21:16:11.493Z","priceCents":10,"iy":192.81835278538878,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T09:30:58.862Z","priceCents":9,"iy":216.68808104649614,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-01T11:01:17.270Z","priceCents":10,"iy":192.88322550074776,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T05:01:32.446Z","priceCents":9,"iy":216.79156576052168,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T06:16:01.258Z","priceCents":10,"iy":192.9740980002949,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T17:31:49.881Z","priceCents":9,"iy":216.8579345161509,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-02T20:31:58.990Z","priceCents":10,"iy":193.04157122323127,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T08:46:46.549Z","priceCents":9,"iy":217.0664767800628,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-04T12:02:08.675Z","priceCents":10,"iy":193.22847428914275,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-07T02:46:23.592Z","priceCents":7,"iy":285.6812949740795,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T12:01:18.202Z","priceCents":6,"iy":337.55179614744293,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-10T19:31:10.600Z","priceCents":7,"iy":286.3050296907045,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T12:32:11.741Z","priceCents":6,"iy":339.9643726057085,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T14:02:23.578Z","priceCents":7,"iy":288.30868164580806,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-22T20:16:21.145Z","priceCents":6,"iy":340.02946591687737,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T14:15:57.698Z","priceCents":5,"iy":412.56015138905155,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-23T23:46:24.636Z","priceCents":5,"iy":412.6573646695081,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T03:30:55.615Z","priceCents":6,"iy":340.2929236726245,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T16:01:04.234Z","priceCents":5,"iy":412.8236662551327,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T16:16:35.814Z","priceCents":10,"iy":195.5492164935198,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T21:02:16.456Z","priceCents":5,"iy":412.87503311632827,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T22:02:26.769Z","priceCents":10,"iy":195.5772744565363,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T10:16:00.974Z","priceCents":5,"iy":413.25662908921447,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 413%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 9c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGDPYEAR-30-B1.8","marketTitle":"GDP growth in 2030?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":9},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDPYEAR-30-T0.1","reason":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.0% or Below"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDPYEAR-30-B0.3","reason":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.1% to 0.5%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGDPYEAR-30-B0.8","reason":"GDP growth in 2030?: 0.6% to 1.0%"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=GDP%20growth%20in%202030%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":152}