{"ticker":"KXGOVAK-26-BWIL","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?","description":"If Bernadette Wilson is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":21,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":22,"spread":1,"volume":16455.3,"volume24h":9,"openInterest":7461.65,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":543,"iyYes":252.73893273436795,"iyNo":17.858976019204654,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0476,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":1927,"askDepthUsd":1622,"volume24h":9,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T08:12:45.945Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-TBEG","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Tom Begich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-CBIS","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Click Bishop","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-NDAH","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Nancy Dahlstrom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-DBRO","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Dave Bronson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-SHUG","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Shelley Hughes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-MHEI","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Matt Heilala","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-MCLA","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Matthew Claman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-ACRU","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Adam Crum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-TTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Treg Taylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAK-26-JKRE","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAK-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAK-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:50:42.568Z","priceCents":27,"iy":174.03321268249806,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T22:10:18.128Z","priceCents":25,"iy":194.59713062532322,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:20:22.211Z","priceCents":26,"iy":185.66473060260677,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:35:31.406Z","priceCents":25,"iy":195.70450942509342,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T06:20:29.245Z","priceCents":26,"iy":185.72016172849982,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T07:00:30.461Z","priceCents":27,"iy":176.4336901008615,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:20:30.487Z","priceCents":28,"iy":167.83101026604663,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:25:29.445Z","priceCents":27,"iy":176.46555487737677,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:20:29.397Z","priceCents":28,"iy":167.84361573468755,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:40:37.347Z","priceCents":27,"iy":176.6661567913633,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T15:45:12.614Z","priceCents":25,"iy":196.24746177655027,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T15:55:15.570Z","priceCents":27,"iy":176.86721530352457,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T16:45:13.929Z","priceCents":25,"iy":196.26223502357837,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T14:50:58.159Z","priceCents":24,"iy":207.50823749355186,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T07:20:58.363Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.7331983664608,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T09:05:55.263Z","priceCents":21,"iy":251.83041014427218,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T11:40:45.021Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.82209275449515,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T11:55:39.386Z","priceCents":21,"iy":251.88492209081872,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:00:43.704Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.8289710231067,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T12:50:59.443Z","priceCents":21,"iy":251.9024818094697,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T13:25:22.227Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.85747047146583,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:05:21.866Z","priceCents":19,"iy":285.49433829915483,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:30:24.457Z","priceCents":18,"iy":305.0850843871664,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T14:45:23.724Z","priceCents":17,"iy":326.9772707894188,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:00:39.638Z","priceCents":18,"iy":305.0968399592253,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T15:25:47.632Z","priceCents":17,"iy":326.99407017652175,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T17:35:22.087Z","priceCents":18,"iy":305.15731149985277,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:25:21.836Z","priceCents":17,"iy":327.06908850017743,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:30:22.076Z","priceCents":18,"iy":305.1785942248341,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:35:25.291Z","priceCents":17,"iy":327.0732905440785,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T18:55:27.547Z","priceCents":18,"iy":305.18867655180236,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:21:00.165Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.0277813540347,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:25:24.896Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.980382367625,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T19:55:24.499Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.03888400136535,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:00:37.158Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.9926797615966,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:05:24.733Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.04212245777043,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:15:24.793Z","priceCents":19,"iy":285.6290200243672,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:20:57.663Z","priceCents":20,"iy":267.99956679522074,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:25:22.173Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.04859962025324,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T20:30:20.668Z","priceCents":20,"iy":268.00251848942037,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:05:27.951Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.06155494399928,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:10:23.970Z","priceCents":20,"iy":268.016293922088,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:25:50.716Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.06803310531387,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T21:55:31.326Z","priceCents":20,"iy":268.0320390078408,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T22:40:24.731Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.09209776295037,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T23:55:47.609Z","priceCents":20,"iy":268.07288644726304,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T00:15:29.419Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.1226479846714,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T16:51:49.302Z","priceCents":19,"iy":286.0801055259665,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T18:25:31.596Z","priceCents":20,"iy":268.45292052874197,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-08T19:45:31.941Z","priceCents":21,"iy":252.49911513661925,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 253%","tight LAS 0.048","10 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 19c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVAK-26-BWIL","marketTitle":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":19},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAK-26-TBEG","reason":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Tom Begich"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAK-26-CBIS","reason":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Click Bishop"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAK-26-NDAH","reason":"Who will win the governorship in Alaska?: Nancy Dahlstrom"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20governorship%20in%20Alaska%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}