{"ticker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?","description":"If Adam Crum advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":3,"bestAsk":11,"spread":8,"volume":2996.43,"volume24h":200,"openInterest":1653.93,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":148,"iyYes":7950.891092666453,"iyNo":7.605273656498891,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":2.6667,"cvr":null,"overround":2.7,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":8},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:45:04.091Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x73ed39e6ef4b022710fcfa177b343e68d057045833ce53a322062de48291fe91","venue":"polymarket","title":"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?: Adam Crum","confidenceScore":0.78,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill Walker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernadette Wilson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-CBIS","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Click Bishop","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-DBRO","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Dave Bronson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-EDEV","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Edna DeVries","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-JKRE","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-LCMG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Lesil McGuire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-MCLA","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Matthew Claman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-MHEI","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Matt Heilala","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-NDAH","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Nancy Dahlstrom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-SHUG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Shelley Hughes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TBEG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Tom Begich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Treg Taylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T07:45:59.366Z","priceCents":8,"iy":2479.3119946131446,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T09:46:19.634Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1941.2828422508244,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T11:46:09.818Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2867.1095363382587,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T12:01:09.985Z","priceCents":9,"iy":2182.159572594993,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-18T14:01:01.470Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6981.540967378724,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:15:53.469Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5196.592553923546,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:45:57.375Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4114.481670236308,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T02:16:30.611Z","priceCents":7,"iy":2877.4020733909174,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T03:15:58.008Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5199.152466926624,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T03:30:49.026Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4116.240006172875,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T04:01:10.259Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5200.109226038538,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T04:15:47.575Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4117.021971302545,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:01:25.684Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5201.406042181266,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T06:15:47.454Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3396.4109508762754,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T06:31:15.963Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4119.320713025606,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T07:01:06.720Z","priceCents":6,"iy":3397.0364297751084,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T18:00:40.026Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7072.159800249689,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T20:45:27.982Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5415.430267062316,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-27T04:45:55.705Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7356.4551049497395,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:00:42.209Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4345.700983187432,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:15:23.448Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5489.650504784645,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:30:39.248Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7396.28900782559,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T01:45:23.910Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4346.545326915363,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:15:26.464Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5491.09577448897,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T02:30:46.173Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7398.236375794049,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:30:23.886Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4349.680438041357,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:30:23.947Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7403.99173546806,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:30:24.212Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5515.955973100269,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:45:39.030Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7431.686418726885,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T21:15:27.311Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5518.492619961068,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T22:00:25.981Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7436.088077895675,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T23:30:26.390Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5521.727619984116,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T23:45:56.385Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4371.670816654583,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T00:00:27.375Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7439.978986078278,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:30:35.721Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4379.428369349684,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T06:45:40.706Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7453.22917127165,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:15:36.136Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5534.460863906596,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T08:30:33.106Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7456.666877277227,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T14:01:24.882Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5542.865458963181,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T14:15:23.350Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7467.9440531710015,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T22:45:25.004Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5555.661256873229,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T02:15:33.852Z","priceCents":5,"iy":4402.3081171325,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T02:45:33.538Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5561.551647514443,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T07:15:23.162Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7501.552008712437,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T08:00:38.309Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5604.929266560455,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T08:15:26.155Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7551.568435489065,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T08:30:34.429Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5605.682472643501,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-31T12:30:33.339Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7560.130852935648,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T23:31:00.736Z","priceCents":4,"iy":5701.454651957434,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-03T22:00:26.913Z","priceCents":3,"iy":7728.25697845998,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 7951%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 32.3","illiquid (LAS 2.67)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x73ed39e6ef4b022710fcfa177b343e68d057045833ce53a322062de48291fe91","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernad"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-CBIS","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Click "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20Alaska's%20top-four%20primary%20for%20Governor%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":249}