{"ticker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-DBRO","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?","description":"If Dave Bronson advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":52,"bestBid":50,"bestAsk":52,"spread":2,"volume":11060.88,"volume24h":336.38,"openInterest":3571.28,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":373,"iyYes":97.84053868588094,"iyNo":97.84053868588094,"cri":1,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.04,"cvr":null,"overround":3.01,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":1774,"askDepthUsd":1672,"volume24h":336.38,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T13:00:42.223Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Adam Crum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill Walker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernadette Wilson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-CBIS","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Click Bishop","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-JKRE","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-LCMG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Lesil McGuire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-MHEI","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Matt Heilala","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-SHUG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Shelley Hughes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TBEG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Tom Begich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Treg Taylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:17:31.166Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.25667586061175,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:01:40.847Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.61669625375131,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:15:58.459Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.49187355063665,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:32:19.029Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.62545711730831,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:00:59.849Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.50537108784658,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:17:15.379Z","priceCents":39,"iy":151.11902056684735,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T20:31:49.125Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.53280839294052,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T21:16:40.435Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.67303308987726,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T01:16:41.543Z","priceCents":40,"iy":145.0215876883956,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T03:32:17.676Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.7820652480086,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T06:31:39.473Z","priceCents":39,"iy":151.3068624814638,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T06:46:00.632Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.83852038279085,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T07:16:01.265Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.72774576151104,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:16:04.052Z","priceCents":39,"iy":151.35259185450465,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T09:31:55.508Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.88664366903166,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T10:32:06.633Z","priceCents":39,"iy":151.37386141564917,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T10:46:04.439Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.9079946940681,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T11:02:34.128Z","priceCents":40,"iy":145.1780983923017,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T11:15:58.011Z","priceCents":38,"iy":157.91678797113704,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T21:16:28.186Z","priceCents":37,"iy":164.98312608979802,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:01:56.301Z","priceCents":39,"iy":151.61667708541876,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:16:46.202Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.0563000256252,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T06:00:55.923Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.24451105522866,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T06:16:40.244Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.1475296385772,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T07:32:57.772Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.27142703477398,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T09:16:14.459Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.20240365725576,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T09:46:11.789Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.31055564136832,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T11:02:18.506Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.23490626377182,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:15:54.179Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.35433528406094,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T12:31:06.999Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.2617085710565,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T22:02:00.559Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.5258982842356,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T23:02:10.067Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.45485406550887,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:30:53.924Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.56937490733185,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T00:47:13.046Z","priceCents":37,"iy":165.48657478917283,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T01:47:07.074Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.03295683923312,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T03:05:00.192Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.61456520474457,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:15:53.605Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.07467006319447,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:32:03.842Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.64033942723478,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T13:00:55.998Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.2226732270434,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T17:15:58.230Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.86463245056171,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T23:16:57.247Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.39658951970057,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T23:30:56.657Z","priceCents":38,"iy":158.97489503301452,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T01:00:56.340Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.42588552319665,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T01:16:55.438Z","priceCents":38,"iy":159.00630544668616,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T10:16:49.424Z","priceCents":39,"iy":152.5831369078152,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T10:47:26.094Z","priceCents":38,"iy":159.17460476446237,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T02:01:30.546Z","priceCents":46,"iy":114.72005570819874,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T02:16:06.406Z","priceCents":47,"iy":110.20290950492549,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T03:15:57.782Z","priceCents":49,"iy":101.72740956110866,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T06:16:20.027Z","priceCents":50,"iy":97.77082518576456,"cri":1}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.040","10 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 47c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-DBRO","marketTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":47},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Adam C"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernad"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20Alaska's%20top-four%20primary%20for%20Governor%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":180}