{"ticker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-JKRE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?","description":"If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":40,"bestBid":32,"bestAsk":41,"spread":9,"volume":9985.47,"volume24h":23,"openInterest":1543.51,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-08-31T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":449,"iyYes":172.5950733216137,"iyNo":38.22174634111862,"cri":2.125,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.2813,"cvr":null,"overround":2.7,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-08T04:46:59.198Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Adam Crum","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill Walker","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernadette Wilson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-CBIS","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Click Bishop","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-DBRO","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Dave Bronson","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-EDEV","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Edna DeVries","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-LCMG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Lesil McGuire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-MCLA","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Matthew Claman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-MHEI","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Matt Heilala","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-NDAH","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Nancy Dahlstrom","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-SHUG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Shelley Hughes","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TBEG","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Tom Begich","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-TTAY","connectedTitle":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Treg Taylor","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T19:26:06.939Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.11018817057399,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T20:40:55.509Z","priceCents":53,"iy":86.52022498031437,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-12T23:40:56.649Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.14111877633096,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T00:17:29.261Z","priceCents":53,"iy":86.54769628107077,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:06:17.110Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.20252388587525,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T08:50:42.495Z","priceCents":53,"iy":86.61253215509846,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T16:36:03.216Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.26454576338762,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-13T19:01:03.370Z","priceCents":53,"iy":86.68987926916287,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T05:50:50.395Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.36144256581075,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-14T19:11:10.139Z","priceCents":53,"iy":86.87413350405483,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-15T03:50:51.648Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.52291009660847,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T05:45:44.841Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.1391646919402,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T17:15:40.364Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.79886294921137,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T19:00:38.896Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.2411183513147,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T21:00:47.645Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.8265763282935,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-16T23:30:40.691Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.27571112222354,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-17T17:01:18.550Z","priceCents":52,"iy":83.97504781887865,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T01:15:53.469Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.6610372224307,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:15:53.963Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.24520556895432,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T05:31:14.245Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.69428227386446,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T18:46:26.541Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.34637866955632,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T21:45:37.924Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.82076881964575,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-19T23:16:14.578Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.38003701696209,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-20T06:30:36.312Z","priceCents":53,"iy":87.88921588190162,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T00:16:05.183Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.56808078042883,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T01:01:50.355Z","priceCents":53,"iy":88.03433817017819,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T05:30:54.607Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.60752805510742,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T13:00:48.944Z","priceCents":53,"iy":88.12839658206691,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T13:16:08.532Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.6662241540515,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-21T14:00:49.268Z","priceCents":53,"iy":88.13632249337816,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T02:16:05.148Z","priceCents":47,"iy":88.23267958748248,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T03:30:58.123Z","priceCents":51,"iy":81.44678899479962,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-22T05:30:48.476Z","priceCents":52,"iy":84.78895145461746,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-25T21:30:37.266Z","priceCents":50,"iy":78.88702297665591,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T00:15:22.976Z","priceCents":49,"iy":82.48376678261067,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":44,"iy":101.03162982010834,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:00:24.185Z","priceCents":39,"iy":124.16455213291167,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T22:16:03.932Z","priceCents":35,"iy":147.47053075716252,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T02:30:24.100Z","priceCents":9,"iy":803.2044022807476,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T03:15:32.704Z","priceCents":35,"iy":147.53729319904386,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T19:30:31.027Z","priceCents":36,"iy":141.7499811890008,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-30T19:45:29.049Z","priceCents":35,"iy":148.08134019074254,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:15:29.313Z","priceCents":32,"iy":170.20592585440355,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-01T21:31:00.181Z","priceCents":33,"iy":162.62491711648696,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T00:15:31.849Z","priceCents":34,"iy":155.52489101959637,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T05:15:27.008Z","priceCents":32,"iy":170.33076835235107,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T06:15:26.101Z","priceCents":31,"iy":178.42704076857737,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-02T16:45:26.111Z","priceCents":32,"iy":170.5101289336865,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-04T07:15:38.968Z","priceCents":31,"iy":179.23084242196555,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:45:33.965Z","priceCents":32,"iy":172.50102861209643,"cri":2.125}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 173%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.28)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-ACRU","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Adam C"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWAL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bill W"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVAKPRIMARY-26-BWIL","reason":"Who will win Alaska's top-four primary for Governor?: Bernad"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20Alaska's%20top-four%20primary%20for%20Governor%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":265}