{"ticker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-5.5","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.5% of GDP?","description":"If France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is above -5.5% of GDP, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":65,"bestAsk":95,"spread":30,"volume":902.9,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":251.34,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-04-20T12:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":211,"iyYes":93.13074207522996,"iyNo":321.2060287900789,"cri":1.857,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":0.71,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.568,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":30,"bidDepthUsd":784,"askDepthUsd":171,"volume24h":0,"observability":"high","eventType":"data_release","asPrior":0.65},"computedAt":"2026-09-21T12:13:13.748Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-6.5","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-6.0","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-5.0","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-4.5","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-4.0","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-3.5","connectedTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR","groupLabel":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-09-07T20:31:18.248Z","priceCents":81,"iy":692.5454329949118,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-07T22:46:01.030Z","priceCents":82,"iy":740.3548558175613,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-11T08:30:58.862Z","priceCents":76,"iy":522.5617052314944,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T07:46:23.673Z","priceCents":65,"iy":314.9644976266479,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-17T09:16:20.399Z","priceCents":75,"iy":508.93541865166975,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T13:31:16.583Z","priceCents":65,"iy":316.78824124776514,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T14:16:16.950Z","priceCents":72,"iy":438.69547856535223,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-18T15:31:32.018Z","priceCents":65,"iy":316.9126496569062,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T13:47:16.215Z","priceCents":72,"iy":440.71421192651803,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-09-19T14:01:08.328Z","priceCents":65,"iy":318.3070492433416,"cri":1.857}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-5.5","marketTitle":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 be above -5.5% of GDP?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-6.5","reason":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-6.0","reason":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVBAL-27APR20FR-T-5.0","reason":"Will France’s general government net lending/borrowing balan"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20France%E2%80%99s%20general%20government%20net%20lending%2Fborrowing%20balan","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":144}