{"ticker":"KXGOVCA-26-XBEC","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will win the governorship in California?","description":"If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":90,"bestBid":89,"bestAsk":90,"spread":1,"volume":3596191.95,"volume24h":45236,"openInterest":1296018.05,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"California 2026 Governor: Steyer Overvalued, Hilton Tail Value Ignored","thesisSlug":"cali-governor-election","thesisPrice":48,"edge":42,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-15T06:04:29.961Z","firstDetectedPrice":5}],"indicators":{"tauDays":510,"iyYes":8.846029015371753,"iyNo":579.0859159566916,"cri":8.091,"ee":42,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.0112,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"sfEdgeCents":42,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-11T15:43:55.188Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVCA-26-SHIL","connectedTitle":"Who will win the governorship in California?: Steve Hilton","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVCA-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVCA-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":3384.1100000000006,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:15:27.314Z","priceCents":74,"iy":201.46108138878512,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:30:35.205Z","priceCents":76,"iy":224.15292174525757,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T23:45:33.673Z","priceCents":77,"iy":236.9809112529465,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:15:24.775Z","priceCents":78,"iy":250.98056086353532,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T00:30:39.696Z","priceCents":80,"iy":283.1630476101815,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T01:45:50.049Z","priceCents":85,"iy":401.1881116421492,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:15:24.393Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.704126424987,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T02:30:37.564Z","priceCents":83,"iy":345.68180158469335,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T03:01:33.168Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.7272002467511,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T03:45:28.280Z","priceCents":83,"iy":345.7166736886502,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T04:01:36.152Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.75748898550216,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T04:30:32.105Z","priceCents":83,"iy":345.7374661751894,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T04:45:23.646Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.77912682106285,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T06:00:20.215Z","priceCents":85,"iy":401.3258953836203,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T07:00:41.848Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.84694168624947,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T07:15:25.772Z","priceCents":85,"iy":401.36639221096925,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T07:45:24.894Z","priceCents":84,"iy":371.869311588156,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T14:45:23.414Z","priceCents":85,"iy":401.61032471861387,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-06T16:30:36.815Z","priceCents":84,"iy":372.13290169477034,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T00:30:26.846Z","priceCents":86,"iy":435.70257074232944,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T08:00:26.564Z","priceCents":87,"iy":474.9630671530918,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T15:45:29.053Z","priceCents":86,"iy":436.24172266422374,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T16:15:40.663Z","priceCents":85,"iy":402.44097802562004,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T21:30:29.637Z","priceCents":86,"iy":436.444673581374,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T22:45:33.965Z","priceCents":87,"iy":475.5307922473281,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T23:30:32.431Z","priceCents":86,"iy":436.516048465936,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T00:45:23.286Z","priceCents":85,"iy":402.71836519059514,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T01:15:23.054Z","priceCents":86,"iy":436.5772455216409,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T02:00:45.028Z","priceCents":87,"iy":475.65672608269,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T03:01:33.349Z","priceCents":88,"iy":521.2603464985651,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T06:45:27.639Z","priceCents":89,"iy":575.2843261097977,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T09:15:29.167Z","priceCents":88,"iy":521.5244100052153,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T12:45:35.782Z","priceCents":89,"iy":575.5646282802179,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T15:16:03.322Z","priceCents":91,"iy":719.4219672459948,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T17:16:18.491Z","priceCents":90,"iy":640.4694826527331,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T18:47:01.695Z","priceCents":91,"iy":719.6281809125534,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T19:00:52.899Z","priceCents":90,"iy":640.5594023785522,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T19:45:29.537Z","priceCents":89,"iy":575.8912442193708,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T20:01:53.342Z","priceCents":88,"iy":521.9810578729434,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T20:15:28.009Z","priceCents":89,"iy":575.9148287830124,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-08T23:31:17.987Z","priceCents":88,"iy":522.1286985470778,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T02:30:50.363Z","priceCents":89,"iy":576.2081124993794,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T15:16:03.894Z","priceCents":90,"iy":641.6153472047253,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:15:29.128Z","priceCents":89,"iy":576.9927920749592,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:00:31.007Z","priceCents":90,"iy":642.0718299535795,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T00:30:28.215Z","priceCents":89,"iy":577.2397827581134,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T01:16:05.078Z","priceCents":88,"iy":523.2238407627209,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T02:30:27.419Z","priceCents":89,"iy":577.3334463652163,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T13:15:41.058Z","priceCents":90,"iy":642.7665769206687,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-10T21:45:25.752Z","priceCents":89,"iy":578.2411855822231,"cri":8.091}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+42c executable edge (no)","tight LAS 0.011","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 8.1","price drifted 1700% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 81c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVCA-26-XBEC","marketTitle":"Who will win the governorship in California?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":81},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVCA-26-SHIL","reason":"Who will win the governorship in California?: Steve Hilton"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20win%20the%20governorship%20in%20California%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":281}