{"ticker":"KXGOVCAPRIMARYPARTY-26-1D1R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Who will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?","description":"If 1 Democrat and 1 Republican advance to the general election for California Governor in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":79,"bestBid":78,"bestAsk":82,"spread":4,"volume":21059.01,"volume24h":1000.09,"openInterest":11511.36,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"California 2026 Governor: Steyer Overvalued, Hilton Tail Value Ignored","thesisSlug":"cali-governor-election","thesisPrice":65,"edge":16,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-14T06:04:44.399Z","firstDetectedPrice":81}],"indicators":{"tauDays":407,"iyYes":23.86512013215765,"iyNo":337.7374484008979,"cri":3.762,"ee":14,"eeSource":"thesis","las":0.038,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.02,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.692,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":3616,"askDepthUsd":1186,"volume24h":1000.09,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8,"sfEdgeCents":16,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:39:54.089Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T19:00:29.071Z","priceCents":80,"iy":355.4118761121837,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:00:21.082Z","priceCents":79,"iy":334.28977190389253,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:10:16.984Z","priceCents":82,"iy":404.8219392120566,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:40:24.818Z","priceCents":80,"iy":355.47158418589714,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:45:17.604Z","priceCents":79,"iy":334.31500322489063,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T20:55:17.911Z","priceCents":80,"iy":355.48023919437475,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T21:05:17.033Z","priceCents":79,"iy":334.32639926351965,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:30:15.858Z","priceCents":80,"iy":355.79036636660067,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T05:40:16.001Z","priceCents":79,"iy":334.61807643171227,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:10:59.783Z","priceCents":78,"iy":315.4457391224958,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:15:55.359Z","priceCents":79,"iy":334.70616837873496,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T08:35:54.421Z","priceCents":80,"iy":355.90224876592123,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T16:10:55.583Z","priceCents":81,"iy":379.60928683657784,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:11:13.919Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.2852624797455,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:15:55.920Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.0802594789017,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:20:55.037Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.2913487091761,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:25:54.670Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.0859835165819,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:36:03.177Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3000436833616,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:45:57.387Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.09743217865054,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:50:54.916Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.30960864514503,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T19:56:06.139Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.10315680305905,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:05:56.224Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3183045105994,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:10:54.988Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.1121530366031,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:30:55.011Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.33308845602835,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:40:55.291Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.1285110624371,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:45:55.858Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3426551921078,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T20:50:55.975Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.1342367487738,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:00:55.477Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3513526706826,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:10:55.817Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.14568870840884,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:16:10.525Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3609203875059,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:20:56.192Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.15141498172744,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:25:56.814Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.3670092020797,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T21:36:46.696Z","priceCents":81,"iy":379.8186967921412,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T23:40:59.908Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.4479232025626,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T02:50:44.308Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.33885389355345,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:05:55.790Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.7902562047293,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:30:21.719Z","priceCents":79,"iy":335.73734546156123,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T14:35:22.477Z","priceCents":80,"iy":356.99003606577423,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T02:50:29.488Z","priceCents":82,"iy":407.0796219450326,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T08:00:11.761Z","priceCents":80,"iy":357.6240048989591,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:45:32.381Z","priceCents":78,"iy":317.43044348611994,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:10:31.113Z","priceCents":79,"iy":336.8930550609551,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:15:45.642Z","priceCents":78,"iy":317.5122209305127,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:30:33.811Z","priceCents":79,"iy":336.90462754016283,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T00:45:31.835Z","priceCents":78,"iy":317.52780236409325,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:26:00.532Z","priceCents":79,"iy":337.24637370968327,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:50:48.562Z","priceCents":78,"iy":317.88815964305417,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:20:26.677Z","priceCents":79,"iy":337.4510909494764,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T16:55:27.378Z","priceCents":78,"iy":318.05379231389,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:30:28.674Z","priceCents":79,"iy":337.5597665751094,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+16c executable edge (no)","tight LAS 0.038"],"warnings":["taker regime","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 71c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVCAPRIMARYPARTY-26-1D1R","marketTitle":"Who will advance from California's top-two primary for governor?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":71},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Who%20will%20advance%20from%20California's%20top-two%20primary%20for%20gover","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":2356}