{"ticker":"KXGOVIANOMR-26-ASTE","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Adam Steen be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?","description":"If Adam Steen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Iowa Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":10,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":10,"spread":5,"volume":9407.97,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5871.76,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":196,"iyYes":3545.33789345071,"iyNo":9.820880591276207,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":1,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.12,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":657,"askDepthUsd":1275,"volume24h":0},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T00:24:30.318Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x201305cdb4e6a8c4b4c48f1e24835fce62fbfc75efd608255e36c7d504fde6c8","venue":"polymarket","title":"Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner: Adam Steen","confidenceScore":0.89,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVIANOMR-26-BSHE","connectedTitle":"Will Brad Sherman be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?: Brad Sherman","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVIANOMR-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVIANOMR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVIANOMR-26-RFEE","connectedTitle":"Will Randy Feenstra be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?: Randy Feens","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVIANOMR-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVIANOMR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVIANOMR-26-ZLAH","connectedTitle":"Will Zach Lahn be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iowa?: Zach Lahn","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVIANOMR-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVIANOMR-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:30:19.556Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2891.3912218340065,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T20:50:17.862Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3506.8290882244364,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:40:16.709Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4437.937271073869,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T05:50:25.395Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3513.4916051109008,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:00:16.388Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4438.252058264725,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T06:05:58.160Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3513.6874211510294,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:10:24.945Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4443.114440629137,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T11:20:36.517Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3517.5904885570526,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:05:35.733Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4443.970961997961,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:10:35.597Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3518.1972219685667,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:35:47.919Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4444.444444444444,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T12:40:35.765Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3518.572073649015,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T14:55:32.127Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4446.632792394025,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:00:31.206Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3520.304568527918,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:20:45.763Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4448.913672791541,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:25:31.658Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3522.1103205196564,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:05:32.736Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4451.49094456979,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T20:15:51.986Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3524.222358865947,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:05:32.283Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4452.441218627062,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T21:10:33.651Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3524.9030461058333,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:30:32.115Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4453.776812905784,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T22:36:01.571Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3525.9783509505132,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:20:32.977Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4454.569493318147,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:25:31.742Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3526.5879816322476,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:40:32.148Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4454.863989340874,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:35:31.836Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6004.134466835235,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T01:40:51.444Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4456.767825799395,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:35:31.964Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9100.993807151544,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T02:41:08.825Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4457.720354378591,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:35:31.408Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6006.701446324809,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T03:40:31.990Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4458.650596522659,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:05:33.351Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6007.343534194604,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:10:50.083Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4459.12721238375,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:35:42.055Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6007.95517408731,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:40:31.362Z","priceCents":2,"iy":9105.024690729522,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T04:45:31.945Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4459.672041012692,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:25:52.819Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6011.597008209596,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:30:47.501Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4462.284526671829,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T07:55:54.197Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6012.209514591135,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T08:00:47.314Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4462.761919802741,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:45:56.603Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6015.856509800725,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T10:51:14.064Z","priceCents":4,"iy":4465.446315242159,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:50:48.562Z","priceCents":3,"iy":6017.236778819599,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T11:56:21.113Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3535.956110295317,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T12:05:15.221Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2915.7169978397687,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T14:00:54.626Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3537.525313582362,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T18:55:28.242Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2919.960238839301,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T19:00:39.786Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3541.282623459784,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:15:28.658Z","priceCents":6,"iy":2922.019301849448,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:20:30.013Z","priceCents":5,"iy":3543.797970300571,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 3545%","3 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","illiquid (LAS 1.00)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x201305cdb4e6a8c4b4c48f1e24835fce62fbfc75efd608255e36c7d504fde6c8","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVIANOMR-26-BSHE","reason":"Will Brad Sherman be the Republican nominee for Governor in "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVIANOMR-26-RFEE","reason":"Will Randy Feenstra be the Republican nominee for Governor i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVIANOMR-26-ZLAH","reason":"Will Zach Lahn be the Republican nominee for Governor in Iow"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Adam%20Steen%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20Governor%20in%20Io","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":4081}