{"ticker":"KXGOVMNNOMR-26-LDEM","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Lisa Demuth be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?","description":"If Lisa Demuth wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":22,"bestBid":21,"bestAsk":28,"spread":7,"volume":41662.12,"volume24h":4,"openInterest":12020.57,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":130,"iyYes":1053.0679025195477,"iyNo":74.41162394025324,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.13,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":7,"bidDepthUsd":2761,"askDepthUsd":381,"volume24h":4,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T05:50:56.256Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVMNNOMR-26-KQUA","connectedTitle":"Will Kendall Qualls be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?: Kendal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVMNNOMR-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVMNNOMR-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVMNNOMR-26-MLIN","connectedTitle":"Will Mike Lindell be the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota?: Mike Lin","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVMNNOMR-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVMNNOMR-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T15:16:03.670Z","priceCents":24,"iy":837.6271538552592,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T16:46:08.361Z","priceCents":21,"iy":995.5303844780813,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T17:00:34.470Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1058.6153890774094,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T18:15:42.079Z","priceCents":22,"iy":938.6721037333235,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:00:36.222Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1059.5757342642119,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:15:48.115Z","priceCents":22,"iy":939.237564751968,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T20:45:38.022Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1059.8141695702673,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T21:15:51.308Z","priceCents":22,"iy":939.5239613260653,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T22:45:33.426Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1060.4530894775453,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-18T23:02:01.320Z","priceCents":22,"iy":940.0289900053818,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T00:46:47.397Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1061.1004920308449,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T01:00:34.568Z","priceCents":22,"iy":940.5892509182887,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T01:16:25.018Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1061.2624661995173,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-19T01:30:33.861Z","priceCents":25,"iy":796.0047106032189,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T16:01:29.106Z","priceCents":23,"iy":898.7816160544368,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T17:30:36.515Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1010.4089466832763,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-20T18:45:33.892Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1074.7701390575885,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T04:31:02.452Z","priceCents":24,"iy":853.4103186967618,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T07:46:12.483Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1079.075542678916,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T15:45:55.620Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1017.3487331035789,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T18:31:11.843Z","priceCents":24,"iy":857.1061328508326,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T20:30:56.201Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1083.3271499591897,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:00:55.842Z","priceCents":24,"iy":857.7676519553639,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:16:05.107Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1083.5763958467853,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T21:30:57.195Z","priceCents":24,"iy":857.8949842523386,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-21T23:01:07.171Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1084.1637829890249,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T03:46:04.346Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1021.1315986667744,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-22T22:00:56.983Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1091.9316720016752,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T15:30:59.510Z","priceCents":22,"iy":973.161657635781,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1032.8916991471435,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:46:38.749Z","priceCents":20,"iy":1098.3554759791164,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:16:44.041Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1034.1129975110996,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:02:07.439Z","priceCents":22,"iy":980.6913684692053,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T18:15:59.466Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1041.2965161797292,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:46:09.080Z","priceCents":22,"iy":984.0247198622988,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T03:00:57.002Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1044.1868288696023,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:01:10.607Z","priceCents":27,"iy":753.5636248658743,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:15:55.640Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1048.5885420019079,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T16:45:56.256Z","priceCents":22,"iy":988.4139965254489,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:01:21.389Z","priceCents":27,"iy":753.8053804361971,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:31:26.615Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1049.341809584219,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T18:45:58.877Z","priceCents":27,"iy":754.2259439571485,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:02:21.526Z","priceCents":22,"iy":989.7596208667889,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:15:56.868Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1050.2568002625371,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:00:59.617Z","priceCents":27,"iy":755.2476174765063,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:16:09.508Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1050.9320256363999,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:30:59.278Z","priceCents":27,"iy":755.3690166878577,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:46:23.986Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1051.100967661741,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:16:38.130Z","priceCents":27,"iy":755.7913272767911,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:30:56.132Z","priceCents":21,"iy":1051.6806100513459,"cri":3.762}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1053%","2 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVMNNOMR-26-KQUA","reason":"Will Kendall Qualls be the Republican nominee for Governor i"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVMNNOMR-26-MLIN","reason":"Will Mike Lindell be the Republican nominee for Governor in "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Lisa%20Demuth%20be%20the%20Republican%20nominee%20for%20Governor%20in%20M","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}