{"ticker":"KXGOVNMNOMD-26-DHAA","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Deb Haaland be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Mexico?","description":"If Deb Haaland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":84,"bestBid":80,"bestAsk":85,"spread":5,"volume":13835.01,"volume24h":225.31,"openInterest":9901.01,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":193,"iyYes":50.20611032925382,"iyNo":710.513230305835,"cri":3.762,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0633,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":901,"askDepthUsd":5529,"volume24h":225.31,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T09:02:06.388Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":{"ticker":"0x21c5db990b49634e0b5598596bacbfaa7890607ae2846e940b4a21b76e1db1c5","venue":"polymarket","title":"New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner: Deb Haaland","confidenceScore":0.88,"priceCents":null},"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:25:36.525Z","priceCents":77,"iy":626.5672541528892,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:00:22.947Z","priceCents":78,"iy":663.6363636363637,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:05:32.712Z","priceCents":77,"iy":626.657224629803,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:40:21.913Z","priceCents":78,"iy":663.8746776232027,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:45:21.698Z","priceCents":76,"iy":592.9570215174571,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T16:50:44.253Z","priceCents":77,"iy":626.8919120571356,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:05:23.490Z","priceCents":75,"iy":561.7891059087901,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:35:21.182Z","priceCents":77,"iy":626.9916270237519,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:00:22.955Z","priceCents":76,"iy":593.1152448150524,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:05:20.834Z","priceCents":77,"iy":627.0591938970553,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:10:21.409Z","priceCents":76,"iy":593.1365505538793,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T19:06:15.974Z","priceCents":77,"iy":627.1943713405758,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T22:40:21.516Z","priceCents":78,"iy":664.7271980125895,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T03:05:23.224Z","priceCents":79,"iy":705.9760807909871,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T09:15:42.922Z","priceCents":78,"iy":666.2363938709061,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T10:25:32.427Z","priceCents":79,"iy":707.0848999671656,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:25:30.834Z","priceCents":80,"iy":752.3213752022509,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T13:55:30.947Z","priceCents":79,"iy":707.6169126209069,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:31:16.332Z","priceCents":80,"iy":752.499742294609,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:35:32.358Z","priceCents":79,"iy":707.7190339481789,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:20:32.042Z","priceCents":78,"iy":667.1053112548892,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:25:31.258Z","priceCents":79,"iy":707.8467270650051,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:35:33.666Z","priceCents":78,"iy":667.1431416888307,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:55:32.438Z","priceCents":80,"iy":753.0508876716289,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:21:02.914Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.2921892578346,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:40:30.497Z","priceCents":80,"iy":753.1713155220356,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:50:33.848Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.3652693433958,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:55:44.138Z","priceCents":78,"iy":667.6215507392379,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:05:32.371Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.4054698188809,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:30:34.326Z","priceCents":80,"iy":753.3073287515738,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:50:35.357Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.518786620728,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:05:33.198Z","priceCents":78,"iy":667.7869161614286,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:25:39.504Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.6065406583125,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T20:50:32.178Z","priceCents":80,"iy":753.5211631063653,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T21:50:32.076Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.8223617661196,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:25:32.874Z","priceCents":78,"iy":668.1213422879273,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T22:30:38.161Z","priceCents":79,"iy":708.9248313491553,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:35:30.009Z","priceCents":80,"iy":754.2919729901479,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:45:31.595Z","priceCents":81,"iy":803.9455193327623,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T03:20:30.982Z","priceCents":80,"iy":754.5765585106935,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T03:45:28.746Z","priceCents":79,"iy":709.7273130932447,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T03:50:30.229Z","priceCents":80,"iy":754.6584653554908,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T04:45:28.566Z","priceCents":79,"iy":709.8777513455921,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:10:30.135Z","priceCents":80,"iy":754.8769705649687,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:21:21.716Z","priceCents":79,"iy":709.9695132910924,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:25:31.473Z","priceCents":80,"iy":754.9160026680594,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T05:40:40.697Z","priceCents":81,"iy":804.6272941335284,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:00:10.215Z","priceCents":80,"iy":755.1737158167516,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:05:19.051Z","priceCents":79,"iy":710.2339202892662,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T08:55:13.804Z","priceCents":81,"iy":805.1893795071475,"cri":4.263}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":[],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 76c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVNMNOMD-26-DHAA","marketTitle":"Will Deb Haaland be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Mexico?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":76},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/0x21c5db990b49634e0b5598596bacbfaa7890607ae2846e940b4a21b76e1db1c5","reason":"Same market on polymarket"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Deb%20Haaland%20be%20the%20Democratic%20nominee%20for%20Governor%20in%20N","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1524}