{"ticker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-500","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2026?","description":"If government spending decreases by at least 500 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":5,"bestAsk":7,"spread":2,"volume":37522.34,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":5660.02,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-03-31T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":12,"edge":5,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-05-20T06:05:41.039Z","firstDetectedPrice":5}],"indicators":{"tauDays":278,"iyYes":2490.554925085831,"iyNo":6.899044113811168,"cri":19,"ee":5,"eeSource":"thesis","las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.77,"hasThesis":true,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.423,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":2793,"askDepthUsd":2568,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":5,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes"},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T04:15:57.956Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000","connectedTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2026?: At least 1 trillion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTCUTS-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVTCUTS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-2000","connectedTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?: At least 2 trillion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTCUTS-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVTCUTS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","connectedTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?: At least 250 billion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTCUTS-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVTCUTS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-750","connectedTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 750 before 2026?: At least 750 billion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTCUTS-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVTCUTS-26"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB","connectedTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?: At least 50 billion","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTCUTS-26","groupLabel":"KXGOVTCUTS-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2491%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0","price shifted 40% since edge was set"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGOVTCUTS-26-500","marketTitle":"Will government spending decrease by 500 before 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTCUTS-26-1000","reason":"Will government spending decrease by 1000 before 2026?: At l"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTCUTS-26-2000","reason":"Will government spending decrease by 2000 before 2026?: At l"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTCUTS-26-250","reason":"Will government spending decrease by 250 before 2026?: At le"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20government%20spending%20decrease%20by%20500%20before%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":127}