{"ticker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G140","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 140 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?","description":"If the duration of the first US federal government shutdown between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026 due to a lapse of appropriations is at least 140 days, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":12,"bestBid":12,"bestAsk":16,"spread":4,"volume":44612.8,"volume24h":566.66,"openInterest":20626.43,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":252,"iyYes":1061.0997909514485,"iyNo":19.73119445984098,"cri":7.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.3333,"cvr":null,"overround":3.97,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.409,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":2258,"askDepthUsd":8850,"volume24h":566.66,"observability":"medium","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.3},"computedAt":"2026-04-24T08:56:24.538Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G70","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 70 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G75","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 75 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G80","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 80 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G85","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 85 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G90","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 90 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G95","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 95 days between Feb 7, 2026 and","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G100","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 100 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-A110","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for more than 110 days between Feb 7, 2026 a","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G120","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 120 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G130","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 130 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G150","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 150 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G200","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 200 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G300","connectedTitle":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 300 days between Feb 7, 2026 an","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07","groupLabel":"KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T21:55:27.558Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1289.6969506617304,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:05:47.974Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1159.4563957306593,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T22:30:28.436Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1050.9632084349287,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:25:34.527Z","priceCents":13,"iy":959.2389161914272,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:30:29.707Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.5182116279526,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-21T23:35:28.317Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.2514484387232,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T00:15:31.220Z","priceCents":16,"iy":752.6098329235627,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T01:40:31.086Z","priceCents":15,"iy":812.5290539699998,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:05:29.960Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.2044353079441,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T07:20:20.088Z","priceCents":17,"iy":700.7179265133205,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T08:00:20.541Z","priceCents":16,"iy":753.5657966660244,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T11:16:30.721Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.1700826383158,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T12:50:22.926Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.1619111338501,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:35:23.289Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.5510078181427,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T14:55:21.488Z","priceCents":18,"iy":654.6291885441424,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T15:05:32.712Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.4410148191309,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T17:50:32.566Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.9240527211113,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:05:20.834Z","priceCents":16,"iy":754.8124835054023,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:15:51.938Z","priceCents":17,"iy":701.9738220186446,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:30:41.278Z","priceCents":13,"iy":963.0358602347011,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T23:40:32.424Z","priceCents":15,"iy":815.4634473930796,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T00:10:22.351Z","priceCents":13,"iy":963.1383843782016,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T01:25:20.964Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1055.6094534230403,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T01:35:33.367Z","priceCents":15,"iy":815.7207329786493,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T02:10:22.848Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1055.7426880286932,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T04:20:24.284Z","priceCents":15,"iy":816.0908655692515,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:20:31.826Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1167.1409842356027,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:11:15.333Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1058.0044691795263,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:25:31.393Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1459.057865492568,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:30:58.044Z","priceCents":14,"iy":886.4432080489833,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:35:32.234Z","priceCents":13,"iy":965.7429636554625,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:41:06.947Z","priceCents":14,"iy":886.4677409334033,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T16:55:31.942Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1167.634753353558,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:01:23.132Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1058.322394260018,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:05:32.131Z","priceCents":13,"iy":965.8231517131613,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:20:46.879Z","priceCents":9,"iy":1459.2828667055048,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:30:30.260Z","priceCents":8,"iy":1659.7797504893335,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:35:30.524Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1167.764032939681,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T17:45:29.844Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1299.0094311643634,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:10:32.791Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1167.8748668007886,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T18:50:33.848Z","priceCents":10,"iy":1299.2406264831513,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:40:37.347Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1169.1278274016788,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:45:29.721Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1059.6757102004676,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T00:50:32.963Z","priceCents":13,"iy":967.058200123642,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:15:31.952Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1169.2389203049488,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:25:32.837Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1059.7889924481785,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T01:30:31.540Z","priceCents":11,"iy":1169.289844941764,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T02:20:31.709Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1059.9526651275576,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T04:40:39.660Z","priceCents":13,"iy":967.6711594074823,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T07:35:11.952Z","priceCents":12,"iy":1060.8684853361024,"cri":7.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"medium","reasoning":"Illiquid — spread too wide relative to depth","positives":["IY 1061%","13 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 7.3","illiquid (LAS 0.33)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G70","reason":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 70 days bet"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G75","reason":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 75 days bet"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGOVTSHUTLENGTH-26FEB07-G80","reason":"Will the US government be shut down for at least 80 days bet"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20US%20government%20be%20shut%20down%20for%20at%20least%20140%20days%20be","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1792}