{"ticker":"KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?","description":"If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":32,"bestBid":30,"bestAsk":35,"spread":5,"volume":7134.31,"volume24h":735.51,"openInterest":2959.64,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":97,"iyYes":881.0952479481343,"iyNo":161.83382105169818,"cri":2.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":0.51,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":5,"bidDepthUsd":2921,"askDepthUsd":2247,"volume24h":735.51,"observability":"high","eventType":"scientific","asPrior":0.5},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T12:23:16.830Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGPT-OPEN-26AUG01","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGPT-OPEN","groupLabel":"KXGPT-OPEN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Jul 1, 2026?: Before Jul 1, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGPT-OPEN","groupLabel":"KXGPT-OPEN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGPT-OPEN","groupLabel":"KXGPT-OPEN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGPT-OPEN-26SEP01","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Sep 1, 2026?: Before Sep 1, 2026","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGPT-OPEN","groupLabel":"KXGPT-OPEN"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGPT-OPEN-27JAN01","connectedTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Jan 1, 2027?: Before 2027","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGPT-OPEN","groupLabel":"KXGPT-OPEN"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T12:31:20.562Z","priceCents":38,"iy":597.653963900961,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T13:01:29.251Z","priceCents":37,"iy":623.838357092726,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T14:16:48.053Z","priceCents":38,"iy":598.0921310315993,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:16:17.903Z","priceCents":37,"iy":624.684873036433,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T16:30:56.413Z","priceCents":38,"iy":598.6512754473086,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T18:46:59.767Z","priceCents":39,"iy":574.4417414421339,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T20:46:49.786Z","priceCents":38,"iy":599.7243864949382,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T21:30:58.214Z","priceCents":39,"iy":575.1014273312272,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T23:30:57.221Z","priceCents":38,"iy":600.4136831704814,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T23:46:23.305Z","priceCents":39,"iy":575.6465196848358,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T00:46:55.098Z","priceCents":40,"iy":552.2883399069935,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:15:58.834Z","priceCents":38,"iy":601.3595029682658,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T03:45:58.075Z","priceCents":39,"iy":576.6116574224928,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T04:15:57.554Z","priceCents":40,"iy":553.0973451327433,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T08:46:12.476Z","priceCents":37,"iy":629.0285386650808,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T09:16:05.208Z","priceCents":38,"iy":602.8814697200584,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T11:16:05.453Z","priceCents":37,"iy":629.6977450823604,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T11:46:03.190Z","priceCents":38,"iy":603.5168792710219,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T12:16:17.622Z","priceCents":39,"iy":578.6806911939951,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T14:01:27.063Z","priceCents":40,"iy":555.3752206285122,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:02:07.439Z","priceCents":36,"iy":658.7838218937328,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T16:31:09.655Z","priceCents":37,"iy":631.0917021938773,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T18:31:35.171Z","priceCents":36,"iy":659.4801399362652,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T18:45:56.590Z","priceCents":37,"iy":631.6946723923469,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T19:46:10.440Z","priceCents":38,"iy":605.5666101863636,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T21:15:57.023Z","priceCents":39,"iy":580.8887219143629,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:16:58.357Z","priceCents":38,"iy":606.4669801106702,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:31:01.869Z","priceCents":37,"iy":632.9685357245294,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-24T23:46:11.846Z","priceCents":39,"iy":581.5040701367299,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T01:45:56.892Z","priceCents":37,"iy":633.5750993827086,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T02:31:22.574Z","priceCents":38,"iy":607.301899623167,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T04:16:26.980Z","priceCents":37,"iy":634.2475471348395,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:00:55.563Z","priceCents":38,"iy":607.9466661795213,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T05:16:19.132Z","priceCents":37,"iy":634.5195173733348,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:00:57.879Z","priceCents":3,"iy":12073.439796485558,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T10:16:07.928Z","priceCents":36,"iy":663.9064528524104,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T14:01:51.965Z","priceCents":37,"iy":636.89292637551,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T17:01:21.389Z","priceCents":38,"iy":611.0657169720735,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T19:01:39.871Z","priceCents":37,"iy":638.2534033936372,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T19:47:11.908Z","priceCents":38,"iy":611.7876310220395,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T21:46:05.572Z","priceCents":37,"iy":639.00151809754,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:30:59.278Z","priceCents":33,"iy":762.5178586016564,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-25T23:46:23.986Z","priceCents":34,"iy":729.1272567684134,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T01:46:27.146Z","priceCents":33,"iy":763.2560932523853,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T02:16:20.838Z","priceCents":34,"iy":729.9084296697322,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:15:58.007Z","priceCents":32,"iy":799.7123355466654,"cri":2.125},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T04:46:58.864Z","priceCents":33,"iy":764.2400054251507,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T05:16:42.115Z","priceCents":34,"iy":730.8495572429041,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T09:30:52.859Z","priceCents":29,"iy":923.4480620597008,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-26T10:16:07.860Z","priceCents":30,"iy":880.3848194780404,"cri":2.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 881%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 29c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGPT-OPEN-26OCT01","marketTitle":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":29},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGPT-OPEN-26AUG01","reason":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGPT-OPEN-26JUL01","reason":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Jul 1, 2026?: Before Jul 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGPT-OPEN-26NOV01","reason":"Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?: Before Nov 1,"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20OpenAI%20release%20GPT-6%20before%20Oct%201%2C%202026%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":130}