{"ticker":"KXGROK-GROK5-27JAN01","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":86,"bestBid":86,"bestAsk":95,"spread":9,"volume":2208.22,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1139.22,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":237,"iyYes":25.07516169308277,"iyNo":946.2035504185723,"cri":6.143,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1047,"cvr":null,"overround":0.8,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.432,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":9,"bidDepthUsd":892,"askDepthUsd":1973,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"financial","asPrior":0.35},"computedAt":"2026-05-09T05:54:56.740Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01","connectedTitle":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026?: Before July","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGROK-GROK5","groupLabel":"KXGROK-GROK5"},{"connectedTicker":"KXGROK-GROK5-26OCT01","connectedTitle":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026?: Before October","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXGROK-GROK5","groupLabel":"KXGROK-GROK5"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T06:53:13.281Z","priceCents":86,"iy":836.8671575363101,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T07:07:43.415Z","priceCents":85,"iy":772.0225497771024,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T07:23:40.812Z","priceCents":86,"iy":836.9327574254786,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-08T08:07:45.096Z","priceCents":85,"iy":772.143597554526,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T19:00:51.791Z","priceCents":86,"iy":847.9635637701556,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-12T12:15:47.773Z","priceCents":85,"iy":784.3598271248187,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T00:01:06.002Z","priceCents":82,"iy":631.7376733057166,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T13:50:42.568Z","priceCents":85,"iy":793.586846282036,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:20:35.695Z","priceCents":86,"iy":861.1702477887759,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:41:06.434Z","priceCents":85,"iy":794.4555834671295,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T20:46:19.595Z","priceCents":86,"iy":861.2297889479443,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T21:15:37.904Z","priceCents":87,"iy":938.3349496747517,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T22:00:46.491Z","priceCents":86,"iy":861.401842999292,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T10:50:23.810Z","priceCents":85,"iy":796.260079972487,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T20:10:24.161Z","priceCents":84,"iy":738.8179683614336,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:00:12.748Z","priceCents":85,"iy":797.8172850554228,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T02:00:18.428Z","priceCents":84,"iy":739.5108133557677,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T10:51:26.242Z","priceCents":85,"iy":799.3404314248355,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T11:10:52.134Z","priceCents":86,"iy":866.5554324937028,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-18T09:40:54.421Z","priceCents":85,"iy":802.2890774903932,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T23:50:31.683Z","priceCents":86,"iy":878.5344288098837,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T03:05:32.944Z","priceCents":85,"iy":814.0512727668689,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T05:15:27.181Z","priceCents":86,"iy":882.7716385917724,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T18:45:19.657Z","priceCents":85,"iy":816.148829770163,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-22T20:35:22.606Z","priceCents":86,"iy":884.9981674137979,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T12:15:58.723Z","priceCents":85,"iy":818.5033195223264,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T14:31:16.332Z","priceCents":86,"iy":887.6152924323372,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:30:50.160Z","priceCents":85,"iy":818.9440702774114,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T15:35:33.666Z","priceCents":86,"iy":887.773444968228,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-23T19:05:32.371Z","priceCents":85,"iy":819.4274968437844,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T03:30:30.607Z","priceCents":86,"iy":889.5239077615565,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T03:45:28.746Z","priceCents":85,"iy":820.601121730655,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-24T23:55:13.835Z","priceCents":84,"iy":762.804972712182,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T00:00:22.636Z","priceCents":85,"iy":823.3581601361957,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-25T00:05:15.060Z","priceCents":84,"iy":762.8262288817056,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-26T18:25:29.034Z","priceCents":85,"iy":829.1907205473594,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:05:50.425Z","priceCents":84,"iy":776.6114814889864,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T11:10:57.865Z","priceCents":85,"iy":838.257505140322,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:45:51.561Z","priceCents":84,"iy":776.961002943633,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T13:50:49.118Z","priceCents":85,"iy":838.6347755688998,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-29T23:05:22.745Z","priceCents":84,"iy":778.1852294047413,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-02T04:55:22.294Z","priceCents":85,"iy":847.6671734910364,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-07T01:06:11.805Z","priceCents":86,"iy":937.4996266726557,"cri":6.143}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["2 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 6.1"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 77c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGROK-GROK5-27JAN01","marketTitle":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":77},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGROK-GROK5-26JUL01","reason":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Jul 1, 2026?: Before July"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXGROK-GROK5-26OCT01","reason":"Will xAI release Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026?: Before October"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20xAI%20release%20Grok%205%20before%20Jan%201%2C%202027%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":134}