{"ticker":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","description":"If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":34,"bestBid":34,"bestAsk":40,"spread":6,"volume":6713.74,"volume24h":3.03,"openInterest":2099.49,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":254,"iyYes":278.7960178346124,"iyNo":73.98718930597157,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1765,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":6,"bidDepthUsd":1973,"askDepthUsd":592,"volume24h":3.03,"observability":"medium","eventType":"scientific","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-04-22T01:43:24.982Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-09T23:01:08.999Z","priceCents":22,"iy":486.04535945333464,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T01:01:20.568Z","priceCents":21,"iy":515.8812158229813,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T01:40:55.995Z","priceCents":22,"iy":486.2480777231772,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T02:35:53.661Z","priceCents":21,"iy":516.0091688038054,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T02:40:54.165Z","priceCents":20,"iy":548.6741627081956,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T11:50:39.481Z","priceCents":21,"iy":516.756828053937,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T13:50:27.942Z","priceCents":20,"iy":549.6346435468753,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:35:53.212Z","priceCents":22,"iy":487.23485746968515,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T14:40:44.808Z","priceCents":21,"iy":516.986414740899,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T16:40:47.607Z","priceCents":20,"iy":549.8789136501791,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T16:45:46.459Z","priceCents":22,"iy":487.40001622954736,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:20:47.417Z","priceCents":20,"iy":549.9369079232348,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-10T17:25:45.628Z","priceCents":22,"iy":487.4514217932391,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:21:13.947Z","priceCents":20,"iy":550.5424351321491,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:25:56.530Z","priceCents":22,"iy":487.98631512911834,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:46:20.831Z","priceCents":20,"iy":550.5798057886301,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T00:51:14.095Z","priceCents":22,"iy":488.0194398695598,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:40:42.938Z","priceCents":20,"iy":550.656639184123,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:45:43.690Z","priceCents":22,"iy":488.08938464735155,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T01:55:53.085Z","priceCents":20,"iy":550.6794856804474,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T02:00:49.732Z","priceCents":22,"iy":488.1077945002749,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-11T03:05:37.682Z","priceCents":21,"iy":517.9947253819572,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T03:15:44.727Z","priceCents":22,"iy":491.9151065453218,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T04:15:44.406Z","priceCents":21,"iy":522.0298970061356,"cri":3.762},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-13T05:10:43.964Z","priceCents":23,"iy":464.63638503799746,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:10:32.364Z","priceCents":24,"iy":443.57030925197483,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-15T15:16:02.670Z","priceCents":25,"iy":420.2309543272275,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T23:15:19.551Z","priceCents":24,"iy":445.85626905416757,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:10:27.825Z","priceCents":25,"iy":423.33728963616187,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T13:20:26.067Z","priceCents":26,"iy":401.63855444618787,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:05:16.810Z","priceCents":27,"iy":381.5822581506729,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T14:45:15.906Z","priceCents":35,"iy":262.1328275928362,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-17T16:00:16.616Z","priceCents":34,"iy":274.0491495603041,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T00:25:59.312Z","priceCents":35,"iy":263.56279126604574,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T01:20:40.049Z","priceCents":36,"iy":252.33670704053984,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T03:25:43.064Z","priceCents":38,"iy":231.66370987472962,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:25:37.415Z","priceCents":36,"iy":252.6678304962284,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:30:32.049Z","priceCents":38,"iy":231.89283784163206,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T09:40:30.640Z","priceCents":37,"iy":242.00715970736022,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T10:15:31.277Z","priceCents":38,"iy":231.92083331625275,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T11:20:27.680Z","priceCents":37,"iy":242.07314409273627,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T12:31:39.322Z","priceCents":38,"iy":232.005764159118,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T15:30:41.302Z","priceCents":36,"iy":252.91797618846553,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:30:17.937Z","priceCents":35,"iy":264.4656289432968,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-19T21:35:17.448Z","priceCents":36,"iy":253.1676299174778,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T00:35:24.104Z","priceCents":37,"iy":242.59474144907603,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T03:35:16.708Z","priceCents":36,"iy":253.41480792980065,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T15:35:31.331Z","priceCents":37,"iy":243.18803813086913,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T17:10:32.318Z","priceCents":35,"iy":265.31442975010685,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-04-20T18:15:32.835Z","priceCents":34,"iy":277.36846068448864,"cri":1.941}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 279%"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.18)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 31c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXGTEMP-27-P0","marketTitle":"Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":31},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%202026%20be%20the%20hottest%20year%20on%20record%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":1380}