{"ticker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AMER","venue":"kalshi","title":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","description":"If Pete Hegseth says America First as part of IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":51,"bestBid":39,"bestAsk":50,"spread":11,"volume":98.46,"volume24h":92.11,"openInterest":93.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-06-14T14:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":17,"iyYes":4220.954436820598,"iyNo":1120.1614621130884,"cri":1.941,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1765,"cvr":null,"overround":6.17,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":11,"bidDepthUsd":239,"askDepthUsd":111,"volume24h":92.11},"computedAt":"2026-05-28T19:26:45.262Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NQE","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Event does not","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATO","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: NATO","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TAIW","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Taiwan","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AI","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: AI / Artificia","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-OIL","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Oil","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATI","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: National Secur","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-RUSS","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Russia / Russi","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CHIN","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: China / Chines","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-UKRA","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Ukraine","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NUCL","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Nuclear","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TRUM","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Trump (3+ time","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-DRON","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Drone","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-CEAS","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Ceasefire","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-LETH","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Lethal","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TER","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Terrorist / Te","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-VENE","connectedTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?: Venezuela","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29","groupLabel":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":2,"volumeDelta":37.589999999999996,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T03:15:37.710Z","priceCents":3,"iy":67642.95676429568,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T04:15:44.846Z","priceCents":5,"iy":39842.583017350335,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:00:24.415Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:15:41.443Z","priceCents":3,"iy":67966.2904092759,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T05:45:37.561Z","priceCents":5,"iy":39987.314766764684,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:01:34.418Z","priceCents":4,"iy":50542.34941149319,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:15:24.936Z","priceCents":7,"iy":27993.33668698097,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T06:30:30.600Z","priceCents":6,"iy":33031.0382008626,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:00:38.941Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28045.14322066805,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T07:15:39.862Z","priceCents":9,"iy":21356.145799175723,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T08:15:43.852Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T09:30:39.596Z","priceCents":3,"iy":68666.23998758751,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T10:15:25.867Z","priceCents":5,"iy":40423.175565399855,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T11:15:28.578Z","priceCents":7,"iy":28335.197582597364,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:01:35.327Z","priceCents":8,"iy":24572.64957264957,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T12:15:29.368Z","priceCents":9,"iy":21616.327274383853,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:15:24.620Z","priceCents":15,"iy":12144.520775840138,"cri":5.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T13:45:26.173Z","priceCents":17,"iy":10476.536293529754,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:00:49.193Z","priceCents":16,"iy":11272.721924819109,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:15:26.902Z","priceCents":20,"iy":8593.795985637764,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T14:45:25.238Z","priceCents":19,"iy":9170.51291595325,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:00:44.645Z","priceCents":20,"iy":8609.505837952589,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:15:26.348Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7210.033760556587,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:30:49.078Z","priceCents":22,"iy":7640.614684365052,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T15:45:23.943Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6468.9549240857805,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:00:43.043Z","priceCents":23,"iy":7223.672982614865,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:15:25.310Z","priceCents":24,"iy":6836.823218581175,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:30:53.034Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6481.207457827761,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T16:45:25.121Z","priceCents":24,"iy":6845.326226433718,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:00:46.314Z","priceCents":25,"iy":6489.273438425981,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T17:15:26.893Z","priceCents":27,"iy":5851.825497223979,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:15:44.646Z","priceCents":28,"iy":5579.428299675595,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T18:45:29.880Z","priceCents":29,"iy":5318.537612517393,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:00:25.075Z","priceCents":34,"iy":4219.697527036541,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-28T19:15:50.001Z","priceCents":36,"iy":3866.807037059108,"cri":1.778}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 4221%","16 connected markets"],"warnings":["illiquid (LAS 0.18)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 46c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-AMER","marketTitle":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":46},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NQE","reason":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-NATO","reason":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHEGSETHMENTION-26MAY29-TAIW","reason":"What will Pete Hegseth say during IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=What%20will%20Pete%20Hegseth%20say%20during%20IISS%20Shangri-La%20Dialogue%202","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":159}