{"ticker":"KXHMONTH-26AUG","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will  Aug 2026 be the hottest Aug ever?","description":"If Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":53,"bestBid":53,"bestAsk":57,"spread":4,"volume":9657.56,"volume24h":3696.33,"openInterest":6623.06,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":37,"iyYes":869.1008922026122,"iyNo":1105.162700858822,"cri":1.128,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":697,"askDepthUsd":638,"volume24h":3696.33,"observability":"low","eventType":"weather","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-08-09T22:29:51.234Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T14:01:47.208Z","priceCents":46,"iy":961.1230364270997,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:02:10.343Z","priceCents":44,"iy":1046.910180842978,"cri":1.273},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-02T19:30:56.755Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1136.4453792248983,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T01:15:59.591Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1241.1307324371498,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T03:15:54.826Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1192.9227854622407,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T09:01:05.134Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1104.9034238463707,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T09:16:09.315Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1151.3193673997696,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T09:30:54.433Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1105.408291757655,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T09:46:08.645Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1151.8718870349392,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T11:01:06.850Z","priceCents":43,"iy":1107.0016457371257,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T14:16:17.032Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1156.8419798664686,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:15:57.421Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1435.9669281111055,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:31:37.656Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1376.3348258325213,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T21:46:03.447Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1319.7194477390506,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T22:15:58.059Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1266.2472824830008,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:01:23.427Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1215.6453871803749,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:46:12.481Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1324.8339271731086,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:15:58.160Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1287.326592993181,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:17:21.454Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1344.9970218570322,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:16:54.391Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1534.7782324295488,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T21:31:01.394Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1470.3127267891043,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T23:00:58.008Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1537.3963771149074,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T05:47:02.165Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1616.8327796234773,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T11:02:34.077Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1555.8645971536203,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T14:02:07.985Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1494.640548535356,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T03:46:48.854Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1582.3470759093075,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T22:00:58.780Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1760.3652556950624,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:16:45.240Z","priceCents":31,"iy":2025.3268387772284,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T01:47:28.592Z","priceCents":33,"iy":1848.4462998194253,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T06:16:40.244Z","priceCents":34,"iy":1775.5849332515681,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T08:31:15.361Z","priceCents":35,"iy":1702.688058217937,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T08:45:57.084Z","priceCents":36,"iy":1630.3331295416922,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T11:02:18.506Z","priceCents":37,"iy":1565.2205875345953,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T14:02:29.146Z","priceCents":38,"iy":1504.5762254351168,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T18:15:56.719Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1448.7944065408853,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:02:32.136Z","priceCents":40,"iy":1403.9181496487,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:32:03.842Z","priceCents":39,"iy":1464.7033786526308,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T08:15:54.490Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1352.9542590258734,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:02:19.869Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1303.6613362497908,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T12:47:01.408Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1359.5731691533779,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T21:31:48.201Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1317.117298721208,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T23:16:57.247Z","priceCents":41,"iy":1375.1280302623954,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T03:47:06.905Z","priceCents":42,"iy":1326.1619107756762,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T06:45:55.493Z","priceCents":48,"iy":1043.7563791222328,"cri":1.083},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:32:05.670Z","priceCents":50,"iy":975.0233738480031,"cri":1},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:46:07.574Z","priceCents":49,"iy":1015.0642846782275,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T18:16:33.205Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1145.5412813323849,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T20:46:00.899Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1103.444263373237,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T21:01:20.390Z","priceCents":54,"iy":1149.043338346917,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T21:32:44.930Z","priceCents":53,"iy":1104.4213391672513,"cri":1.128}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 869%"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 48c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHMONTH-26AUG","marketTitle":"Will  Aug 2026 be the hottest Aug ever?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":48},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20%20Aug%202026%20be%20the%20hottest%20Aug%20ever%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":209}