{"ticker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-T1.30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?","description":"If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Aug 2026 is above 1.30, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":30,"bestBid":26,"bestAsk":30,"spread":4,"volume":1261.69,"volume24h":134.77,"openInterest":1259.69,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-09-16T03:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":37,"iyYes":2797.1839679209284,"iyNo":345.30612898366473,"cri":2.846,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.09,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":4,"bidDepthUsd":520,"askDepthUsd":521,"volume24h":134.77},"computedAt":"2026-08-10T00:58:47.699Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.065","connectedTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.04 to 1.09","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.130","connectedTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.10 to 1.16","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.200","connectedTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.17 to 1.23","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.270","connectedTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.24 to 1.30","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-T1.03","connectedTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.02999 or below","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG","groupLabel":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T11:01:06.850Z","priceCents":9,"iy":8443.854658419832,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T11:16:20.725Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11097.77946330491,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T11:32:02.445Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13089.92407767731,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T14:00:56.950Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11126.808577591008,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T14:16:17.032Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13124.172806071314,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:16:20.164Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11172.182269982059,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T18:31:48.353Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13177.705059071146,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-03T23:46:02.412Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11231.43810053204,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T00:02:43.500Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13247.922651592376,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:02:10.207Z","priceCents":8,"iy":9733.784755235025,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:15:56.452Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13263.594120876147,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T01:46:12.481Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11253.331742053544,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T02:00:57.087Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13273.138046825434,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T02:16:41.519Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11258.818495706422,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T02:45:58.333Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13282.695717482364,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T03:45:55.702Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11275.048743950598,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T04:01:59.027Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13299.068173713506,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T04:32:38.252Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11283.443968368461,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T04:45:57.601Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13308.663237678527,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:02:28.057Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16302.68694609652,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T15:15:58.160Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13445.411082373226,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T17:47:18.750Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16346.493812610486,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T18:01:58.342Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13481.86569216865,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-04T22:46:36.524Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11486.571083415954,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T00:02:11.685Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13562.122505771114,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T00:16:02.568Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11503.465103275325,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T01:15:57.884Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13578.546608727314,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T03:30:56.556Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11540.697575586553,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T04:16:00.855Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13618.970499507795,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:15:58.459Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11711.83604464609,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T18:46:18.171Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16757.684129132027,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T19:30:59.025Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13828.097921150418,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T21:02:18.838Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11744.740037990054,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T21:46:02.671Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13859.602349386396,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T23:02:20.185Z","priceCents":5,"iy":16830.073290297525,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-05T23:32:01.037Z","priceCents":6,"iy":13884.504876370846,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T17:46:17.542Z","priceCents":7,"iy":11995.759342698117,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T19:31:25.760Z","priceCents":8,"iy":10402.210547184775,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-06T21:47:11.650Z","priceCents":7,"iy":12045.520677345405,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-07T15:32:16.881Z","priceCents":8,"iy":10621.47321541537,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T03:05:00.192Z","priceCents":14,"iy":5743.488029978116,"cri":6.143},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:02:32.136Z","priceCents":8,"iy":10763.372480640033,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T04:15:53.605Z","priceCents":17,"iy":4570.7879950995475,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T07:16:01.671Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3144.2670965677644,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T18:31:16.278Z","priceCents":24,"iy":3010.453022173604,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-08T19:15:57.831Z","priceCents":23,"iy":3185.2475607724377,"cri":3.348},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T04:47:27.818Z","priceCents":24,"iy":3044.390595093856,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T10:47:26.094Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2754.3911174200703,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T14:02:05.206Z","priceCents":27,"iy":2625.932923157584,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T17:46:07.574Z","priceCents":26,"iy":2775.7338584036597,"cri":2.846}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 2797%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 27c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-T1.30","marketTitle":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":27},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.065","reason":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.04 to 1.09"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.130","reason":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.10 to 1.16"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHMONTHRANGE-26AUG-B1.200","reason":"Aug 2026 temperature increase?: 1.17 to 1.23"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Aug%202026%20temperature%20increase%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":142}