{"ticker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A70","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?","description":"If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":73,"bestBid":56,"bestAsk":71,"spread":15,"volume":726.06,"volume24h":726.06,"openInterest":638.46,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-01-05T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","indicators":{"tauDays":180,"iyYes":211.4291211556444,"iyNo":195.17159549969324,"cri":1.041,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":3.06,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":15,"bidDepthUsd":699,"askDepthUsd":660,"volume24h":726.06},"computedAt":"2026-07-09T21:54:14.860Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A100","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A40","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A50","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A60","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A80","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A90","connectedTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as r","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":7,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T01:46:27.446Z","priceCents":31,"iy":450.07138416295567,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T02:16:14.512Z","priceCents":33,"iy":410.58718920959063,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T02:31:04.868Z","priceCents":30,"iy":471.8950047466543,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T03:02:50.998Z","priceCents":31,"iy":450.2035703100533,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T04:01:25.844Z","priceCents":45,"iy":247.26941280442932,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T04:16:06.915Z","priceCents":60,"iy":303.4838280535461,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T04:31:08.322Z","priceCents":66,"iy":392.76772606888585,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T04:45:59.406Z","priceCents":70,"iy":472.1409141978594,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T05:01:16.795Z","priceCents":63,"iy":344.5562731043374,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T05:16:01.876Z","priceCents":71,"iy":495.45676754942656,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T05:31:50.670Z","priceCents":61,"iy":316.5462184491638,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T05:46:01.538Z","priceCents":70,"iy":472.2508714923126,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T06:16:04.389Z","priceCents":71,"iy":495.572168330462,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T06:46:03.167Z","priceCents":74,"iy":576.1732624035106,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T07:16:01.858Z","priceCents":69,"iy":450.64308566602483,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T07:31:54.901Z","priceCents":74,"iy":576.2755403569963,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T08:01:44.900Z","priceCents":69,"iy":450.72308976449636,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T09:16:28.871Z","priceCents":78,"iy":718.157400325706,"cri":3.545},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T14:46:44.461Z","priceCents":70,"iy":473.2349078812597,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T15:01:51.415Z","priceCents":69,"iy":451.45444155166234,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T15:16:03.003Z","priceCents":70,"iy":473.29013518870477,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T15:31:22.908Z","priceCents":55,"iy":247.9276582290988,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T15:46:02.850Z","priceCents":71,"iy":496.6601211915857,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T16:32:05.625Z","priceCents":69,"iy":451.61003415272853,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:02:04.623Z","priceCents":60,"iy":304.38142467185173,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:16:03.430Z","priceCents":55,"iy":248.02828325509486,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T17:31:30.633Z","priceCents":73,"iy":548.7021839355979,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T18:31:46.789Z","priceCents":55,"iy":248.10001118458334,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T18:46:27.984Z","priceCents":64,"iy":360.894821406501,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T19:01:02.775Z","priceCents":63,"iy":345.67355608570364,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:02:40.470Z","priceCents":55,"iy":248.18834868515816,"cri":1.222},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:16:00.989Z","priceCents":63,"iy":345.7735629007146,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T20:46:35.264Z","priceCents":53,"iy":229.02437981985625,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:16:28.998Z","priceCents":46,"iy":238.44618737732907,"cri":1.174},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:30:58.902Z","priceCents":49,"iy":211.4232378614213,"cri":1.041},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-09T21:47:02.115Z","priceCents":56,"iy":258.54763019087494,"cri":1.273}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 211%","6 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 66c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A70","marketTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":66},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A100","reason":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A40","reason":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A50","reason":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the S"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%207-day%20moving%20average%20of%20transit%20calls%20through%20the%20S","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":216}