{"ticker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260501","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before May 1, 2026?","description":"If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":0,"bestBid":0,"bestAsk":100,"spread":100,"volume":2943365.69,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":847909.66,"status":"finalized","closeTime":"2026-05-05T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"low","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr","thesisSlug":"us-iran-ground-invasion","thesisPrice":5,"edge":16,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-10T06:04:28.163Z","firstDetectedPrice":21},{"thesisTitle":"The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril","thesisSlug":"hormuz-sarhu","thesisPrice":1,"edge":22,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-02T06:01:05.990Z","firstDetectedPrice":13}],"indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":100,"bidDepthUsd":0,"askDepthUsd":0,"volume24h":0,"observability":"medium","eventType":"unknown","asPrior":0.3,"sfEdgeCents":16,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-01T05:07:08.141Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["+16c executable edge (no)"],"warnings":["status: finalized","price drifted 100% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%207-day%20moving%20average%20of%20transit%20calls%20through%20the%20S","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":150}