{"ticker":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B261201","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?","description":"If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":77,"bestBid":77,"bestAsk":78,"spread":1,"volume":77696.47,"volume24h":10928.48,"openInterest":51423.85,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-12-01T14:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"Hormuz blockade disrupts fertilizer supply chains. Fertilizer prices spike, US f","thesisSlug":"fertilizer-shock-farm-crisis","thesisPrice":18,"edge":60,"direction":"no","firstDetectedAt":"2026-06-15T06:05:41.375Z","firstDetectedPrice":83}],"indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.625,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":3964,"askDepthUsd":18764,"volume24h":10928.48,"sfEdgeCents":60,"sfEdgeDirection":"no"},"computedAt":"2026-06-17T18:56:44.447Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":null,"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T08:46:09.882Z","priceCents":64,"iy":376.69375120538785,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T12:45:49.190Z","priceCents":63,"iy":361.13408824675406,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T13:16:44.534Z","priceCents":64,"iy":377.10531634551376,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:02:08.901Z","priceCents":67,"iy":430.75151916751804,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:15:35.401Z","priceCents":66,"iy":411.8638677932372,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T14:45:33.419Z","priceCents":58,"iy":293.03560804819455,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:01:25.411Z","priceCents":53,"iy":239.30263414740355,"cri":1.128},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:15:34.247Z","priceCents":58,"iy":293.0696841353918,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:31:36.134Z","priceCents":60,"iy":318.356524418963,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T15:45:35.139Z","priceCents":59,"iy":305.43118628990527,"cri":1.439},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T16:15:47.193Z","priceCents":57,"iy":281.38740966828465,"cri":1.326},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:01:34.552Z","priceCents":63,"iy":361.5080048201067,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:15:44.580Z","priceCents":58,"iy":293.2128902868555,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:31:24.907Z","priceCents":61,"iy":332.1217936038697,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T17:45:40.184Z","priceCents":58,"iy":293.24871369506116,"cri":1.381},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:01:37.615Z","priceCents":61,"iy":332.16237332067044,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T18:46:01.088Z","priceCents":62,"iy":346.55457675624916,"cri":1.632},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T19:15:36.166Z","priceCents":63,"iy":361.7036738522928,"cri":1.703},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T19:45:37.545Z","priceCents":64,"iy":377.6979696793901,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T20:46:15.043Z","priceCents":65,"iy":394.6559672897158,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T21:46:43.921Z","priceCents":66,"iy":412.61459946581056,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-12T22:01:14.135Z","priceCents":67,"iy":431.5843885576047,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T00:45:38.386Z","priceCents":66,"iy":412.91277136287954,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T01:01:42.207Z","priceCents":67,"iy":431.9013212771847,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T01:15:36.544Z","priceCents":66,"iy":412.9633108926316,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T04:30:52.214Z","priceCents":64,"iy":378.50211676012555,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T05:02:37.447Z","priceCents":65,"iy":395.4502799404617,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T12:30:36.349Z","priceCents":64,"iy":379.2387561228552,"cri":1.778},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T12:45:43.467Z","priceCents":65,"iy":396.1922129234644,"cri":1.857},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T13:30:37.090Z","priceCents":66,"iy":414.19693078182985,"cri":1.941},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T15:31:05.932Z","priceCents":67,"iy":433.42453769526264,"cri":2.03},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T15:45:35.157Z","priceCents":75,"iy":640.4707313649337,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:00:47.225Z","priceCents":72,"iy":549.0102356565852,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:15:38.686Z","priceCents":70,"iy":498.2050967063865,"cri":2.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T16:30:47.224Z","priceCents":69,"iy":475.27691933747684,"cri":2.226},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T17:00:46.622Z","priceCents":72,"iy":549.145147337231,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T18:00:34.043Z","priceCents":71,"iy":522.9705453463794,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T18:46:05.734Z","priceCents":72,"iy":549.3797945302844,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T19:15:50.569Z","priceCents":73,"iy":577.7077026681877,"cri":2.704},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T20:31:08.409Z","priceCents":72,"iy":549.6146423363891,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T21:00:56.853Z","priceCents":74,"iy":608.4054101904865,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T21:15:41.852Z","priceCents":75,"iy":641.333505136525,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T21:30:44.225Z","priceCents":74,"iy":608.4802456809391,"cri":2.846},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T22:15:33.734Z","priceCents":76,"iy":677.1257452288754,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T23:00:38.398Z","priceCents":75,"iy":641.6040687658937,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-13T23:45:35.090Z","priceCents":76,"iy":677.3757477017086,"cri":3.167},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T00:16:01.994Z","priceCents":75,"iy":641.803379578344,"cri":3},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T02:30:33.682Z","priceCents":71,"iy":524.0562336706381,"cri":2.448},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T02:45:49.963Z","priceCents":72,"iy":550.452720132913,"cri":2.571},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-14T05:45:33.124Z","priceCents":71,"iy":524.4745337914196,"cri":2.448}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["+60c executable edge (no)"],"warnings":["taker regime"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 69c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B261201","marketTitle":"Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before December 1, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":69},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%207-day%20moving%20average%20of%20transit%20calls%20through%20the%20S","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":121}