{"ticker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T30","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","description":"If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":7,"bestBid":6,"bestAsk":7,"spread":1,"volume":586.76,"volume24h":81.42,"openInterest":399.68,"status":"active","closeTime":"2026-08-04T13:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":8,"iyYes":68327.55805153941,"iyNo":278.38298889264587,"cri":15.667,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.1667,"cvr":null,"overround":0.82,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"bidDepthUsd":50,"askDepthUsd":1788,"volume24h":81.42},"computedAt":"2026-07-27T04:10:33.657Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T10","connectedTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T15","connectedTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T20","connectedTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T25","connectedTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T5","connectedTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02","groupLabel":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T16:01:06.655Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T20:01:04.195Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-24T22:02:26.769Z","priceCents":2,"iy":100000,"cri":49},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T03:01:29.507Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T18:46:46.810Z","priceCents":6,"iy":58595.48451002494,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T19:01:00.144Z","priceCents":7,"iy":49741.36541476781,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T20:01:04.760Z","priceCents":5,"iy":71435.9291306139,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T21:31:55.806Z","priceCents":8,"iy":43524.47117378681,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T22:01:50.747Z","priceCents":9,"iy":38347.41849081002,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T22:16:00.112Z","priceCents":8,"iy":43660.28708133971,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T22:31:47.053Z","priceCents":6,"iy":59547.363671075014,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T23:01:38.339Z","priceCents":7,"iy":50608.283388496275,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T02:00:59.301Z","priceCents":8,"iy":44380.418693169806,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T05:16:00.036Z","priceCents":9,"iy":39589.73992228659,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T06:02:24.399Z","priceCents":11,"iy":31788.824738232706,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T09:01:01.071Z","priceCents":9,"iy":40263.53431764735,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T09:16:47.766Z","priceCents":10,"iy":35882.03167667941,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T09:46:38.388Z","priceCents":9,"iy":40404.59333868574,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T10:31:36.209Z","priceCents":10,"iy":36087.004284301875,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T11:31:35.737Z","priceCents":8,"iy":46324.908950446974,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T11:45:56.691Z","priceCents":10,"iy":36294.33211799801,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T12:15:57.872Z","priceCents":9,"iy":40865.41419062735,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T12:32:25.456Z","priceCents":10,"iy":36423.10677458698,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T14:31:00.747Z","priceCents":8,"iy":46967.66252657492,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T16:17:11.776Z","priceCents":9,"iy":41640.02657740671,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T16:31:00.255Z","priceCents":8,"iy":47413.30622387891,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T17:02:24.784Z","priceCents":9,"iy":41786.18156199678,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T17:45:58.170Z","priceCents":8,"iy":47693.4439268265,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:16:59.274Z","priceCents":9,"iy":42033.662363958494,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:31:00.522Z","priceCents":8,"iy":47862.02964652224,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T18:46:36.433Z","priceCents":10,"iy":37504.281310651895,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:02:08.616Z","priceCents":9,"iy":42182.598646194485,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:16:00.183Z","priceCents":8,"iy":48031.811420070946,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T19:46:00.890Z","priceCents":9,"iy":42332.59412199537,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T20:01:49.468Z","priceCents":8,"iy":48208.338118755026,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T21:01:00.764Z","priceCents":1,"iy":100000,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T21:46:34.340Z","priceCents":8,"iy":48615.93699328237,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T22:16:39.000Z","priceCents":6,"iy":66391.88823096869,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-26T23:02:35.858Z","priceCents":7,"iy":56505.31011752171,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-07-27T00:02:42.857Z","priceCents":6,"iy":66959.40671350509,"cri":15.667}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["IY 68328%","5 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 15.7","illiquid (LAS 0.17)"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 6c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T30","marketTitle":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 30 from Jul 27, 2026 to Aug 2, 2026?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":6},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T10","reason":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T15","reason":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHORMUZPEAK-26AUG02-T20","reason":"Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through "},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20highest%20single-day%20number%20of%20transit%20calls%20through%20","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":191}