{"ticker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B1","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?","description":"If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 0 and 2 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":2,"bestBid":2,"bestAsk":3,"spread":1,"volume":35755.14,"volume24h":212.65,"openInterest":27126.38,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","edges":[{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":14,"edge":7,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-19T06:04:16.060Z","firstDetectedPrice":6},{"thesisTitle":"DOGE cut federal workforce aggressively. Now those roles are needed for wartime ","thesisSlug":"doge-federal-capacity-crisis","thesisPrice":22,"edge":5,"direction":"yes","firstDetectedAt":"2026-04-19T06:04:16.060Z","firstDetectedPrice":15}],"indicators":null,"regime":{"score":0.396,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1,"sfEdgeCents":7,"sfEdgeDirection":"yes","observability":"none","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T01:06:11.849Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B11","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B13","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B15","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B3","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B5","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B50","connectedTitle":"Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vot","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B58","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B7","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B9","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["+7c executable edge (yes)","9 connected markets"],"warnings":["price drifted 67% since edge was written"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 2c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B1","marketTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":2},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B11","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B13","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B15","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20margin%20of%20victory%20in%20the%202026%20U.S.%20House","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":267}