{"ticker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B7","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?","description":"If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 6 and 8 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":21,"bestBid":20,"bestAsk":22,"spread":2,"volume":22331.83,"volume24h":81.22,"openInterest":21926.12,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T13:59:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":495,"iyYes":294.79227240421267,"iyNo":18.42451702526329,"cri":4,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.05,"cvr":null,"overround":-0.05,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.341,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":7811,"askDepthUsd":6998,"volume24h":81.22,"observability":"low","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.15},"computedAt":"2026-06-26T07:53:33.097Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B1","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B11","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B13","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B15","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B3","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B5","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B50","connectedTitle":"Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vot","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B58","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"},{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B9","connectedTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives ","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03","groupLabel":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-05-29T19:00:55.492Z","priceCents":13,"iy":467.24158987209154,"cri":6.692},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-05T01:00:50.744Z","priceCents":16,"iy":370.97804623068885,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-07T13:15:25.841Z","priceCents":17,"iy":346.68381680629767,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T05:45:44.383Z","priceCents":16,"iy":374.01701594439663,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-09T19:30:40.439Z","priceCents":18,"iy":324.9072391460574,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-11T21:46:18.646Z","priceCents":19,"iy":305.3029149122377,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-23T23:30:57.221Z","priceCents":20,"iy":293.4065911982042,"cri":4}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"Low observability — insufficient data for conviction","positives":["IY 295%","9 connected markets"],"warnings":[],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 19c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B7","marketTitle":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":19},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B1","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B11","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSEPOPVOTEMARGIN-27NOV03-B13","reason":"Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20the%20Democratic%20margin%20of%20victory%20in%20the%202026%20U.S.%20House","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":201}