{"ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?","description":"If the House member sworn in for AR-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":96,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":95,"spread":0,"volume":3309,"volume24h":3308,"openInterest":2925,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":541,"iyYes":3.5528861213366127,"iyNo":1282.5918898025147,"cri":19,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":1},"computedAt":"2026-05-11T22:10:14.408Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?: Democratic party","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26","groupLabel":"KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-04-16T16:20:22.690Z","priceCents":91,"iy":652.1061369244231,"cri":10.111},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-10T22:25:21.596Z","priceCents":92,"iy":774.888266557872,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T03:45:20.013Z","priceCents":96,"iy":1617.8211495025555,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:25:58.961Z","priceCents":93,"iy":896.1787066672059,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-05-11T12:30:38.094Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1281.6390194860865,"cri":19}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["tight LAS 0.000","1 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 19.0"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 86c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-R","marketTitle":"Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":86},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSERACE-AR01-26-D","reason":"Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?: Democratic pa"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Republican%20win%20the%20House%20race%20for%20AR-01%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":124}