{"ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-R","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Republican win the House race for MI-09?","description":"If the House member sworn in for MI-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":98,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":96,"spread":3,"volume":5034.3,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":1094.14,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"medium","indicators":{"tauDays":436,"iyYes":6.2961485510578425,"iyNo":1111.334465675497,"cri":13.286,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":null,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":false},"regime":{"score":0.5,"label":"neutral","signals":{"spreadCents":3},"computedAt":"2026-08-24T07:04:18.621Z","fresh":false},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[{"connectedTicker":"KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-D","connectedTitle":"Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09?: Ray Pooley","groupType":"event","groupKey":"event:KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26","groupLabel":"KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26"}],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-07-25T15:15:58.983Z","priceCents":93,"iy":1040.6438165462528,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-09T15:31:01.357Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1537.7690264270082,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-10T16:03:10.554Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1270.8650030965978,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-11T03:31:27.084Z","priceCents":95,"iy":1542.9008761274176,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-11T15:02:30.595Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1273.5765712393659,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T04:46:05.204Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1953.4995740657323,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T05:01:57.620Z","priceCents":80,"iy":325.59124917765917,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T05:16:02.007Z","priceCents":4,"iy":1953.5867049058218,"cri":24},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T05:32:26.321Z","priceCents":11,"iy":658.6131433921547,"cri":8.091},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T05:46:05.419Z","priceCents":80,"iy":325.6130334422428,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T07:46:47.482Z","priceCents":83,"iy":397.5139077381963,"cri":4.882},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T08:46:09.859Z","priceCents":80,"iy":325.7038325971535,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T11:32:13.591Z","priceCents":80,"iy":325.78813952658084,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:02:22.129Z","priceCents":81,"iy":347.2378413022647,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:16:04.953Z","priceCents":80,"iy":325.8099501466146,"cri":4},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:31:22.017Z","priceCents":8,"iy":936.726600803833,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T12:45:58.037Z","priceCents":7,"iy":1082.2051927358189,"cri":13.286},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-12T13:02:43.699Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1276.1829520406638,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T08:02:28.755Z","priceCents":12,"iy":598.418624755006,"cri":7.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T17:31:57.858Z","priceCents":3,"iy":2640.820119909121,"cri":32.333},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T17:46:02.739Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1279.5984052571307,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T23:16:14.146Z","priceCents":5,"iy":1552.6524946547108,"cri":19},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-13T23:31:01.063Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1280.2859840216117,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T20:17:09.874Z","priceCents":10,"iy":736.9105836959935,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T21:02:04.477Z","priceCents":94,"iy":1282.859486691687,"cri":15.667},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T23:02:03.266Z","priceCents":19,"iy":349.15298073192815,"cri":4.263},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-14T23:16:14.165Z","priceCents":92,"iy":941.8720759331777,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-18T23:32:14.319Z","priceCents":8,"iy":950.4261350771209,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T00:32:36.491Z","priceCents":92,"iy":950.5165284577522,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T00:45:59.770Z","priceCents":10,"iy":743.8976614212635,"cri":9},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T01:16:54.827Z","priceCents":8,"iy":950.5811056860489,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T03:46:54.406Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8185.209766528416,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T04:01:40.419Z","priceCents":92,"iy":950.8287330362872,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T04:16:41.805Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8185.580601974869,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T04:31:01.110Z","priceCents":92,"iy":950.8718118327197,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T05:16:48.955Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8186.359465796719,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T05:31:45.913Z","priceCents":92,"iy":950.9622900123478,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T06:04:35.374Z","priceCents":84,"iy":434.1575813599412,"cri":5.25},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T06:31:46.234Z","priceCents":92,"iy":951.052785412131,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T06:45:59.096Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8187.50948808523,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T07:01:34.419Z","priceCents":92,"iy":951.098039571117,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T08:16:57.708Z","priceCents":1,"iy":8188.678390137781,"cri":99},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-19T08:31:24.157Z","priceCents":92,"iy":951.2316722188235,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T08:02:18.322Z","priceCents":8,"iy":953.3489291149016,"cri":11.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-08-20T09:16:27.373Z","priceCents":92,"iy":953.4593709326078,"cri":11.5}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"monitor","confidence":"low","reasoning":"No strong signal in either direction","positives":["1 connected markets"],"warnings":["cliff risk 13.3"],"sizeHint":null},"nextActions":{"watch":{"description":"Buy YES if price drops to 88c","method":"POST","url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/intents","body":{"action":"buy","venue":"kalshi","marketId":"KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-R","marketTitle":"Will Republican win the House race for MI-09?","direction":"yes","targetQuantity":5,"triggerType":"price_below","triggerPrice":88},"auth":"required"},"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/agent/inspect/KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-D","reason":"Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09?: Ray Pooley"},{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Republican%20win%20the%20House%20race%20for%20MI-09%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":181}