{"ticker":"KXHOUSERACE-OR03-26-D","venue":"kalshi","title":"Will Democratic win the House race for OR-03?","description":"If the House member sworn in for OR-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.","price":99,"bestBid":97,"bestAsk":99,"spread":2,"volume":11,"volume24h":0,"openInterest":6,"status":"active","closeTime":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","liquidityScore":"high","indicators":{"tauDays":477,"iyYes":2.3644589048081177,"iyNo":2471.910426148838,"cri":32.333,"ee":null,"eeSource":null,"las":0.0206,"cvr":null,"overround":null,"hasThesis":false,"hasOrderbook":true},"regime":{"score":0.636,"label":"taker","signals":{"spreadCents":2,"bidDepthUsd":6008,"askDepthUsd":195,"volume24h":0,"observability":"direct","eventType":"political","asPrior":0.8},"computedAt":"2026-07-14T05:05:25.692Z","fresh":true},"crossVenue":null,"contagion":[],"diff24h":{"priceDelta":0,"volumeDelta":0,"spreadDelta":null,"bidDepthDelta":null,"askDepthDelta":null,"signals":[]},"trend7d":[{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T22:16:11.418Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.63720984681613,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-27T23:01:00.717Z","priceCents":82,"iy":336.8224219974188,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T02:00:59.045Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.67376082178298,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T04:16:23.406Z","priceCents":60,"iy":110.95416529029458,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T04:30:54.632Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.69814097796393,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T11:00:59.846Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.01738562674635,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T11:15:55.672Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.7640657109385,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T16:30:54.563Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.06896013080778,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T16:46:06.114Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.81808139506455,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T17:16:33.145Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.0761708645682,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T17:31:16.845Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.82536562501869,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T18:31:21.303Z","priceCents":82,"iy":337.37803721957204,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T20:01:13.002Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.84980973626465,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T20:15:57.201Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.10412130337816,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T20:45:56.722Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.85709795791783,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-28T22:30:57.672Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.12531891444262,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T02:46:05.274Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.91590747343929,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T03:00:58.534Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.16773841165157,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T03:16:13.552Z","priceCents":61,"iy":115.92085019105724,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T03:46:14.913Z","priceCents":82,"iy":337.64179150275294,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T04:16:10.116Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.17947718231605,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T07:01:16.314Z","priceCents":82,"iy":337.73506044250166,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T09:16:14.397Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.22645706658756,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T09:46:13.145Z","priceCents":82,"iy":337.81328146832857,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T11:46:02.895Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.24996190069795,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T17:45:58.520Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.0631927986086,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T18:01:34.715Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.30899376669635,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T18:15:59.745Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.0681480851284,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T19:02:22.797Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.31849899965842,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T20:01:34.697Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.08537689738851,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T20:46:16.966Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.33479746217665,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-29T23:46:40.363Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.12244797907303,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T00:16:26.521Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.36786177773618,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T00:30:58.833Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.12977054603732,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T01:31:53.940Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.37986943634665,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T02:01:26.777Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.14441845083847,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T03:31:02.321Z","priceCents":82,"iy":338.32191426224114,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T03:46:38.744Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.16166991491528,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T08:46:29.177Z","priceCents":82,"iy":338.4727359249963,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T09:16:10.213Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.21582079139398,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T09:46:11.978Z","priceCents":82,"iy":338.50098688927875,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T10:00:59.072Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.22315513945942,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T13:45:59.510Z","priceCents":82,"iy":338.616106632056,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T14:16:00.347Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.50008858911147,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T14:31:07.908Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.26765424981383,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T15:01:00.423Z","priceCents":82,"iy":338.65196828868847,"cri":4.556},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T15:46:41.502Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.27996853103173,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T18:16:36.999Z","priceCents":60,"iy":111.538249980137,"cri":1.5},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T18:31:07.405Z","priceCents":61,"iy":116.30721130306544,"cri":1.564},{"capturedAt":"2026-06-30T18:46:05.760Z","priceCents":97,"iy":2404.3669089029804,"cri":32.333}],"legislation":null,"suggestion":{"action":"avoid","confidence":"high","reasoning":"Market resolved or at extreme price","positives":["tight LAS 0.021"],"warnings":["taker regime","cliff risk 32.3","direct observability (live sports/weather)"],"sizeHint":"pass"},"nextActions":{"deeper":[{"url":"https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/query?q=Will%20Democratic%20win%20the%20House%20race%20for%20OR-03%3F","reason":"News + market context"}]},"latencyMs":156}